Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market assigns the highest probability (55%) to the 0.3%–0.5% range, reflecting expectations of moderation from Q1's robust 1.1% expansion. That print was fueled by elevated government spending, 1% household consumption growth, and a 3.5% surge in gross fixed capital formation, though net exports weighed on the total. Recent energy price shocks tied to the Iran conflict have lifted inflation above forecasts, eroding real incomes and pressuring consumer demand while prompting analysts to anticipate a pullback in investment from unsustainable Q1 levels. Broader 2026 growth projections from the OECD, IMF, and Brazilian authorities cluster around 1.6%–2.3%, consistent with tighter monetary conditions and a cooling external environment. The September 1 data release remains the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.3%–0.5% 55.0%
0.0%–0.2% 27.8%
0.6%–0.8% 6.9%
<0.0% <1%
$49,436 Обс.
$49,436 Обс.
Sep 1, 2026
<0.0%
1%
0.0%–0.2%
28%
0.3%–0.5%
55%
0.6%–0.8%
7%
0.9%–1.1%
<1%
1.2%–1.4%
<1%
≥1.5%
<1%
0.3%–0.5% 55.0%
0.0%–0.2% 27.8%
0.6%–0.8% 6.9%
<0.0% <1%
$49,436 Обс.
$49,436 Обс.
Sep 1, 2026
<0.0%
$1,346 Обс.
1%
0.0%–0.2%
$3,686 Обс.
28%
0.3%–0.5%
$18,631 Обс.
55%
0.6%–0.8%
$15,478 Обс.
7%
0.9%–1.1%
$6,320 Обс.
<1%
1.2%–1.4%
$2,983 Обс.
<1%
≥1.5%
$992 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market assigns the highest probability (55%) to the 0.3%–0.5% range, reflecting expectations of moderation from Q1's robust 1.1% expansion. That print was fueled by elevated government spending, 1% household consumption growth, and a 3.5% surge in gross fixed capital formation, though net exports weighed on the total. Recent energy price shocks tied to the Iran conflict have lifted inflation above forecasts, eroding real incomes and pressuring consumer demand while prompting analysts to anticipate a pullback in investment from unsustainable Q1 levels. Broader 2026 growth projections from the OECD, IMF, and Brazilian authorities cluster around 1.6%–2.3%, consistent with tighter monetary conditions and a cooling external environment. The September 1 data release remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Ринок відкрито: Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Обсяг
$49,436Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market assigns the highest probability (55%) to the 0.3%–0.5% range, reflecting expectations of moderation from Q1's robust 1.1% expansion. That print was fueled by elevated government spending, 1% household consumption growth, and a 3.5% surge in gross fixed capital formation, though net exports weighed on the total. Recent energy price shocks tied to the Iran conflict have lifted inflation above forecasts, eroding real incomes and pressuring consumer demand while prompting analysts to anticipate a pullback in investment from unsustainable Q1 levels. Broader 2026 growth projections from the OECD, IMF, and Brazilian authorities cluster around 1.6%–2.3%, consistent with tighter monetary conditions and a cooling external environment. The September 1 data release remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Обсяг
$49,436Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market assigns the highest probability (55%) to the 0.3%–0.5% range, reflecting expectations of moderation from Q1's robust 1.1% expansion. That print was fueled by elevated government spending, 1% household consumption growth, and a 3.5% surge in gross fixed capital formation, though net exports weighed on the total. Recent energy price shocks tied to the Iran conflict have lifted inflation above forecasts, eroding real incomes and pressuring consumer demand while prompting analysts to anticipate a pullback in investment from unsustainable Q1 levels. Broader 2026 growth projections from the OECD, IMF, and Brazilian authorities cluster around 1.6%–2.3%, consistent with tighter monetary conditions and a cooling external environment. The September 1 data release remains the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання