Persistent cooling in South Korea’s July 2026 CPI to 2.8% year-over-year—below the 3.0% consensus and down from June’s 3.2%—has anchored trader expectations for no change at the Bank of Korea’s August 27 meeting, with market-implied odds at 74%. The July 16 hike to 2.75% addressed earlier inflation pressures from elevated oil prices and a weak won, yet the fresh data and moderating transport and food components have reduced the urgency for an immediate follow-up. Hawkish signals, including the outgoing deputy governor’s August 11 comments highlighting a “high” likelihood of further tightening absent shocks, support the 23% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. Core inflation remains elevated at 2.6%, and robust semiconductor-driven growth continues to underpin financial-stability concerns around household debt and property prices. The central bank’s data-dependent stance leaves room for volatility around upcoming inflation prints and exchange-rate developments ahead of the decision.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоBank of Korea decision in August?
Bank of Korea decision in August?
No Change 74%
25 bps hike 23%
25 bps cut <1%
50+ bps cut <1%
$31,988 Обс.
$31,988 Обс.
Aug 26, 2026
50+ bps cut
<1%
25 bps cut
1%
No Change
74%
25 bps hike
23%
50+ bps hike
<1%
No Change 74%
25 bps hike 23%
25 bps cut <1%
50+ bps cut <1%
$31,988 Обс.
$31,988 Обс.
Aug 26, 2026
50+ bps cut
$2,204 Обс.
<1%
25 bps cut
$2,860 Обс.
1%
No Change
$16,312 Обс.
74%
25 bps hike
$9,189 Обс.
23%
50+ bps hike
$1,423 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Persistent cooling in South Korea’s July 2026 CPI to 2.8% year-over-year—below the 3.0% consensus and down from June’s 3.2%—has anchored trader expectations for no change at the Bank of Korea’s August 27 meeting, with market-implied odds at 74%. The July 16 hike to 2.75% addressed earlier inflation pressures from elevated oil prices and a weak won, yet the fresh data and moderating transport and food components have reduced the urgency for an immediate follow-up. Hawkish signals, including the outgoing deputy governor’s August 11 comments highlighting a “high” likelihood of further tightening absent shocks, support the 23% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. Core inflation remains elevated at 2.6%, and robust semiconductor-driven growth continues to underpin financial-stability concerns around household debt and property prices. The central bank’s data-dependent stance leaves room for volatility around upcoming inflation prints and exchange-rate developments ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Ринок відкрито: May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$31,988Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Persistent cooling in South Korea’s July 2026 CPI to 2.8% year-over-year—below the 3.0% consensus and down from June’s 3.2%—has anchored trader expectations for no change at the Bank of Korea’s August 27 meeting, with market-implied odds at 74%. The July 16 hike to 2.75% addressed earlier inflation pressures from elevated oil prices and a weak won, yet the fresh data and moderating transport and food components have reduced the urgency for an immediate follow-up. Hawkish signals, including the outgoing deputy governor’s August 11 comments highlighting a “high” likelihood of further tightening absent shocks, support the 23% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. Core inflation remains elevated at 2.6%, and robust semiconductor-driven growth continues to underpin financial-stability concerns around household debt and property prices. The central bank’s data-dependent stance leaves room for volatility around upcoming inflation prints and exchange-rate developments ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Обсяг
$31,988Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cooling in South Korea’s July 2026 CPI to 2.8% year-over-year—below the 3.0% consensus and down from June’s 3.2%—has anchored trader expectations for no change at the Bank of Korea’s August 27 meeting, with market-implied odds at 74%. The July 16 hike to 2.75% addressed earlier inflation pressures from elevated oil prices and a weak won, yet the fresh data and moderating transport and food components have reduced the urgency for an immediate follow-up. Hawkish signals, including the outgoing deputy governor’s August 11 comments highlighting a “high” likelihood of further tightening absent shocks, support the 23% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. Core inflation remains elevated at 2.6%, and robust semiconductor-driven growth continues to underpin financial-stability concerns around household debt and property prices. The central bank’s data-dependent stance leaves room for volatility around upcoming inflation prints and exchange-rate developments ahead of the decision.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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