This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding lead at 92.5% implied probability reflects its sustained dominance in AI accelerators and graphics processing units, which have propelled its market capitalization well ahead of peers like Alphabet and Apple as of mid-June 2026. Strong demand for its data center hardware continues to drive revenue growth and investor confidence, widening the gap in a competitive semiconductor landscape. With resolution just weeks away, limited time remains for meaningful shifts, though unexpected macroeconomic pressures, earnings surprises from rivals, or broader market rotations could theoretically narrow the margin if they trigger sharp relative declines.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
NVIDIA's commanding lead at 92.5% implied probability reflects its sustained dominance in AI accelerators and graphics processing units, which have propelled its market capitalization well ahead of peers like Alphabet and Apple as of mid-June 2026. Strong demand for its data center hardware continues to drive revenue growth and investor confidence, widening the gap in a competitive semiconductor landscape. With resolution just weeks away, limited time remains for meaningful shifts, though unexpected macroeconomic pressures, earnings surprises from rivals, or broader market rotations could theoretically narrow the margin if they trigger sharp relative declines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Jun 9 2026
NVIDIA market cap reaches $5.053 trillion, becoming world's largest company
NVIDIA jumps to 96%7%
NVIDIA's market cap surpassed $5 trillion in June 2026, confirming its position as the largest company globally by market capitalization at the end of June 2026.
Jun 8 2026
Apple announces new AI platform at WWDC, stock slides on mixed reception
Apple dips to 2%2%
Apple unveiled a new AI platform that underwhelmed some investors, leading to a decline in its stock price and a drop in its market cap probability.
Jun 8 2026
NVIDIA reaches $5 trillion market cap, becoming world's most valuable company
NVIDIA jumps to 96%6%
NVIDIA's market capitalization hitting $5 trillion in June 2026 confirmed its position as the largest company globally, driving the prediction market price to its peak near resolution.
Jun 8 2026
Alphabet announces cash dividend with ex-date June 8, 2026
Alphabet drops to 3%7%
Alphabet declared a cash dividend, reflecting strong financial health and shareholder returns, but this did not significantly affect its market cap relative to NVIDIA.
Jun 6 2026
NVIDIA becomes first company worth $5 trillion
NVIDIA rises to 92%3%
NVIDIA achieved a historic market capitalization of $5 trillion, cementing its position as the world's largest company by market cap at the end of June 2026.
Jun 5 2026
NVIDIA stock plunges over 6%, wiping out $320 billion in market value
NVIDIA plunges to 70%24%
NVIDIA experienced a sharp single-day drop in stock price, erasing significant market value due to profit-taking and market volatility, causing a temporary dip in its market cap probability.
Jun 5 2026
SpaceX and Alphabet announce multi-year cloud service agreement
Alphabet drops to 4%5%
On June 5, 2026, SpaceX and Alphabet announced a multi-year cloud service agreement involving significant compute capacity, including Nvidia GPUs, enhancing Alphabet's AI infrastructure capabilities.
Jun 5 2026
NVIDIA stock hits record close, pushing market cap over $5 trillion again
NVIDIA jumps to 96%6%
NVIDIA's stock reached a record closing high, reaffirming its position as the world's most valuable company by market cap.
Jun 5 2026
SpaceX IPO hype boosts Tesla investor sentiment
Speculation around SpaceX's IPO positively influenced Tesla's investor sentiment, though Tesla's market cap remained low compared to tech giants.
Jun 5 2026
Alphabet raises planned share sale to $84.75B amid cloud growth
Alphabet dips to 4%3%
Alphabet announced a large share sale plan to fund cloud and AI expansion, reflecting strong growth but also dilution concerns, contributing to a decline in market cap probability.
Jun 5 2026
Tesla receives stock upgrade from J.P. Morgan amid rising EV sales
Tesla's stock upgrade and strong EV sales in April 2026 provided some positive momentum, but overall market confidence remained very low, reflecting challenges in surpassing tech giants in market cap.
Jun 5 2026
NVIDIA becomes first company ever worth $5 trillion
NVIDIA rises to 91%2%
NVIDIA's market cap milestone of $5 trillion solidified its status as the world's largest company by market cap, driving the market's final resolution.
Jun 4 2026
NVIDIA announces cash dividend with ex-date June 4, 2026
NVIDIA rises to 95%4%
NVIDIA's announcement of a cash dividend reinforced its financial strength and shareholder value proposition, supporting its high market cap valuation near the market close date.
Jun 4 2026
Alphabet announces $80 billion equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet's large capital raise aimed at AI infrastructure expansion indicated aggressive growth plans, but market reaction was mixed amid high capital expenditures.
Jun 4 2026
Analysts reaffirm buy rating on NVIDIA after strong AI growth and earnings
NVIDIA jumps to 92%5%
Positive analyst sentiment and buy ratings reinforced NVIDIA's market leadership and contributed to its high market cap probability.
Jun 4 2026
Tesla sales rose 16% in April, led by strong EV demand
Tesla's sales growth in April 2026 reflected ongoing demand for electric vehicles, supporting its valuation but insufficient to regain top market cap status.
Jun 4 2026
NVIDIA market cap surpasses $5.2 trillion, becoming world's largest company
NVIDIA jumps to 96%5%
NVIDIA's market cap exceeding $5.2 trillion confirmed its position as the largest company globally by market cap, reflecting sustained investor confidence in its AI leadership.
Jun 4 2026
Apple prepares for WWDC 2026 with AI and software updates
Apple's upcoming WWDC 2026 event is anticipated to showcase AI advancements including a major Siri overhaul and new software updates, but competitive pressures and regulatory scrutiny have dampened its market cap prospects.
Jun 3 2026
Tesla stock stumbles amid strong China EV sales growth
Tesla dips to 0%1%
Tesla's stock declined due to competitive pressures from surging EV sales in China, contributing to its market cap probability falling to 0%.
Jun 3 2026
Amazon stock faces pressure despite new Prime business credit cards
Amazon dips to 0%1%
Amazon's stock faced downward pressure despite launching new credit card products, leading to a decline in market cap probability to 0%.
Jun 3 2026
Microsoft announces increasing capital expenditures squeezing short-term returns
Microsoft dips to 0%1%
Microsoft's rising capital spending raised investor concerns about short-term profitability, contributing to a decline in its market cap prospects relative to NVIDIA.
Jun 2 2026
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang Backs Marvell Technology with $2 Billion Investment
NVIDIA jumps to 96%5%
NVIDIA committed $2 billion to Marvell Technology to develop photonic chip technology, boosting Marvell's stock and reinforcing NVIDIA's leadership in AI hardware ecosystems.
Jun 2 2026
NVIDIA reaches record market cap of $5.296 trillion, becoming largest company
NVIDIA jumps to 95%5%
NVIDIA's market cap surpassed $5 trillion in early June 2026, driven by AI leadership and strong earnings, solidifying its position as the world's largest company by market cap.
Jun 2 2026
HSBC lowers Alphabet price target amid AI competition concerns
Alphabet drops to 2%5%
HSBC's reduction of Alphabet's price target reflected investor concerns about intense AI competition and capital expenditure dilution, contributing to Alphabet's low market confidence near June 2026.
Jun 2 2026
NVIDIA reaches all-time high market cap of $5.224 trillion
NVIDIA rises to 93%4%
NVIDIA's market cap surpasses all competitors, confirming its position as the world's largest company by market capitalization.
Jun 2 2026
Apple's market cap declines amid competitive pressures and AI sector shifts
Apple drops to 3%9%
Apple's market cap dropped significantly due to competitive pressures in AI and technology sectors, reflected in its market cap probability falling to 3%.
Jun 2 2026
Microsoft announces sweeping AI initiatives at Build 2026 conference
Microsoft drops to 0%14%
Microsoft unveiled a broad slate of AI initiatives including autonomous workplace assistants, new AI models, and a next-gen quantum computing chip, aiming to strengthen its AI ecosystem amid competitive pressures.
Jun 2 2026
Alphabet raises $80 billion in equity offering to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet drops to 2%5%
Alphabet announced an $80 billion equity raise including public issuance and private placement with Berkshire Hathaway to finance massive AI infrastructure growth, which diluted shares and contributed to a decline in market cap confidence.
Jun 1 2026
Alphabet Announces Plans to Raise $80 Billion in Equity Offerings for AI Infrastructure
Alphabet plunges to 6%24%
Alphabet announced a massive $80 billion capital raise through equity offerings to fund its expanding AI infrastructure, triggering concerns over dilution and capital spend cycles.
Jun 1 2026
Alphabet launches $40 billion at-the-market equity program to fund AI expansion
Alphabet drops to 5%10%
Alphabet's large equity raise aimed to finance AI infrastructure growth but diluted shares and raised concerns about capital spending, contributing to a decline in market cap confidence.
Jun 1 2026
Alphabet launches at-the-market program to sell up to $40 billion in shares
Alphabet dips to 4%3%
Alphabet's large share sale program raised concerns about dilution and pressured its stock price, contributing to a decline in market cap prospects.
Jun 1 2026
NVIDIA launches new N1X processor co-developed with Microsoft and MediaTek
NVIDIA rises to 93%2%
NVIDIA unveiled the N1X processor at Computex 2026, co-developed with Microsoft and MediaTek, targeting Windows laptops and boosting its AI hardware leadership, which positively influenced its market cap.
Jun 1 2026
Amazon announces Prime Day 2026 event from June 23-26
Amazon's announcement of its Prime Day event aimed to boost summer sales, but it did not significantly affect its market cap prospects amid strong competition and slower growth.
Jun 1 2026
Alphabet announces $80 billion equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet plunges to 3%29%
Alphabet's large equity offering to finance AI infrastructure expansion caused investor dilution concerns, contributing to a steep drop in its market cap probability.
Jun 1 2026
Tesla stock plunges amid competition and liability concerns
Tesla dips to 0%2%
Tesla's stock dropped sharply due to rising competition in robotaxis and liability issues, leading to a collapse in its market cap probability to near zero by June 2026.
Jun 1 2026
Morgan Stanley cites WWDC 2026 as key catalyst for Apple AI repositioning
Analyst optimism about Apple's AI initiatives ahead of WWDC 2026 provided some support but was insufficient to reverse the overall downtrend.
May 29 2026
Apple stock hits all-time high of $315 amid strong App Store sales
Apple dips to 5%1%
Apple's record stock price reflected strong digital sales and services growth but was insufficient to maintain its lead over NVIDIA in market cap.
May 29 2026
Apple shares fall amid global smartphone market slowdown
Apple drops to 5%9%
Apple's declining market share and slowing growth in key product segments led to a sharp drop in investor confidence and market cap.
May 18 2026
Alphabet Inc. Class A stock hits 52-week high amid strong earnings
Alphabet jumps to 10%5%
Alphabet's stock reached a 52-week high driven by robust earnings and growth in advertising and cloud services, temporarily boosting its market cap in mid-2026.
May 18 2026
Alphabet Class A stock hits 52-week high amid AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet surges to 29%20%
Alphabet's stock reached a 52-week high due to plans to raise $80 billion for AI infrastructure expansion, briefly boosting its market cap but not enough to surpass NVIDIA.
May 18 2026
Alphabet reaches all-time high amid AI revenue growth and equity raise
Alphabet jumps to 14%7%
Alphabet's stock hit an all-time high on May 18, 2026, driven by strong AI-related revenue growth and an expanded equity raise to fund AI compute infrastructure, boosting market cap prospects.
May 16 2026
NVIDIA stock peaks near all-time high on AI infrastructure dominance
NVIDIA jumps to 94%5%
NVIDIA's stock peaked near its all-time high in mid-May 2026, reflecting its dominant position in AI infrastructure and investor confidence in sustained growth.
May 14 2026
NVIDIA stock reaches all-time high of $236.54 amid AI sector surge
NVIDIA rises to 90%3%
NVIDIA's stock peaked at an all-time high driven by AI sector enthusiasm and strong earnings, pushing market cap probability to 90%.
May 14 2026
NVIDIA Shares Reach All‑Time High of $236.54, Market Cap Tops $5 T
NVIDIA jumps to 96%7%
NVIDIA’s share price hit an all‑time high of $236.54, propelling its market cap past the $5 trillion threshold and cementing its status as the world’s largest company, which was reflected in the market’s probability chart.
May 14 2026
NVIDIA stock hits all-time high amid AI infrastructure ramp-up
NVIDIA rises to 92%3%
NVIDIA's stock reached a record high as its Vera Rubin AI rack-scale solutions entered full production, highlighting its dominance in AI hardware and driving investor enthusiasm.
May 14 2026
NVIDIA stock hits 52-week high of $236.54
NVIDIA rises to 92%2%
NVIDIA reached a 52-week high, reflecting strong AI-driven growth and investor enthusiasm, pushing its market cap probability near peak levels.
May 11 2026
NVIDIA announces major AI and robotics software expansions at GTC 2026
NVIDIA jumps to 91%12%
At GTC 2026, NVIDIA unveiled new AI software platforms and partnerships enhancing its leadership in AI and robotics, reinforcing investor confidence and driving its market cap to new highs.
May 10 2026
Analysts raise earnings estimates for Alphabet on AI growth prospects
Alphabet surges to 29%15%
Rising analyst earnings estimates for Alphabet due to AI-related revenue growth improved investor sentiment, but market cap gains were limited compared to NVIDIA.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco reports strong Q1 2026 results with 26% profit margin
Saudi Aramco published Q1 2026 results showing a 26% profit margin and 8.8% revenue growth, supported by high oil prices and refining margins, stabilizing its market cap outlook.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco plans up to $35 billion asset sales to raise capital
Saudi Aramco's announcement of significant asset sales aimed at raising capital indicated strategic financial moves but did not boost its market cap significantly amid global energy market uncertainties.
May 10 2026
Alphabet projects $190 billion capital expenditure for AI infrastructure in 2026
Alphabet rises to 29%4%
Alphabet's announcement of a massive increase in AI infrastructure spending demonstrated its commitment to AI growth, temporarily boosting investor interest despite a declining market cap trend.
May 10 2026
Alphabet's AI success positions it to become world's biggest company
Alphabet jumps to 29%7%
Strong AI-driven earnings growth and infrastructure investments led analysts to raise earnings estimates for Alphabet, temporarily increasing its market cap and investor optimism.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco plans $35 billion asset sales to raise capital
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Saudi Aramco's announcement of significant asset sales to raise capital reflected strategic financial management but did not boost its market cap significantly amid energy market conditions.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco reports 26% net income increase in Q1 2026
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Strong Q1 2026 financial results with a 26% net income increase demonstrated operational strength but did not translate into market cap growth amid broader market trends.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco publishes Q1 2026 results with 3.5% dividend increase
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Saudi Aramco reported strong earnings and increased dividends, but its market cap remained significantly lower than tech giants, reflected in its low market probability.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco publishes strong Q1 2026 results with 3.5% dividend increase
Saudi Aramco's Q1 2026 results showed increased dividends and solid earnings, but market confidence remained low relative to NVIDIA, reflected in its stagnant market probability.
May 9 2026
Saudi Aramco Reports Surge in Q1 2026 Net Profit to $32.5 Billion
Aramco beat analyst expectations due to the East-West Pipeline reaching maximum throughput, bypassing the disrupted Strait of Hormuz.
May 6 2026
Anthropic Reportedly Commits to $200 Billion Google Cloud Spend
Alphabet drops to 10%13%
Reports of a massive five-year compute commitment from Anthropic pushed Alphabet's market cap within striking distance of NVIDIA's top spot.
May 1 2026
Alphabet projects $190 billion capital expenditures for AI infrastructure in 2026
Alphabet rises to 14%1%
Alphabet's announcement of massive AI infrastructure investment highlighted its AI ambitions, temporarily boosting investor sentiment though it did not translate into sustained market cap gains.
Apr 29 2026
Saudi Aramco market cap reported at 6.67 trillion SAR
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Saudi Aramco's market capitalization was reported at 6.67 trillion Saudi Riyals (~$1.78 trillion), reflecting steady oil production and dividend growth but insufficient to challenge tech giants' market caps.
Apr 29 2026
Saudi Arabian Oil Company market cap reported at 6.67 trillion SAR (~$1.78 trillion)
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Saudi Aramco's market cap remained stable with strong oil production and dividend growth, but it did not close the gap with tech leaders.
Apr 27 2026
NVIDIA Market Cap Hits Record $5.26 Trillion to Cement Status as World's Most Valuable Firm
NVIDIA jumps to 89%10%
NVIDIA's market capitalization reached an unprecedented $5.26 trillion, setting a new record for publicly traded companies and driving its market probability up.
Apr 27 2026
NVIDIA stock peaks near $236 amid AI rack-scale solution ramp-up
NVIDIA jumps to 91%13%
NVIDIA's stock price peaked near $236 in late April 2026, driven by the ramp-up of its Vera Rubin AI rack-scale solutions, signaling strong growth in AI infrastructure demand.
Apr 24 2026
NVIDIA Reclaims $5 Trillion Market Cap Crown on AI Chip Demand
NVIDIA plunges to 65%26%
NVIDIA's stock surged 4.3% to close at a record high, reclaiming its $5 trillion valuation following strong semiconductor sector earnings.
Apr 22 2026
NVIDIA reaches 91% market cap probability amid AI infrastructure expansion
NVIDIA jumps to 91%13%
NVIDIA's market cap probability peaked as the company solidified its position as the leading AI chipmaker, supported by expanding AI cloud partnerships and product launches.
Apr 22 2026
Tesla Q1 2026 earnings reveal production ramp-up and Robotaxi progress
Tesla dips to 1%1%
Tesla released Q1 2026 earnings showing increased vehicle production and deployment of energy storage products, alongside progress in its Robotaxi program. Despite operational growth, competitive pressures and regulatory challenges weighed on investor sentiment.
Apr 10 2026
Saudi Aramco announces $2-3 billion share buyback program starting March 2026
Saudi Aramco initiated a significant share buyback program to enhance shareholder value, supporting its stock price and market cap stability in 2026.
Apr 10 2026
Microsoft shares decline amid concerns over AI capital expenditures
Microsoft drops to 1%13%
Investor worries about Microsoft's heavy AI-related capital spending and uncertain returns led to a significant drop in its stock price and market cap prospects.
Mar 15 2026
Iranian drone strikes target Saudi Aramco refineries
Iranian drone attacks on Saudi Aramco's refineries raised concerns about production disruptions, causing volatility in the company's stock and market cap.
Mar 10 2026
Alphabet plans $80 billion equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet drops to 16%13%
Alphabet's announcement to raise $80 billion through equity sales to fund AI infrastructure expansion indicated aggressive investment in AI, impacting its stock negatively due to dilution concerns.
Mar 10 2026
Saudi Aramco Board Authorizes $3 Billion Share Repurchase Program
Saudi Aramco's Board of Directors authorized a share buyback plan of up to $3 billion over an 18-month period to support its stock value.
Mar 10 2026
Saudi Aramco's refineries targeted in Iranian drone strikes amid rising oil prices
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East caused volatility for Saudi Aramco, impacting its stock performance despite rising oil prices, which limited its market cap growth potential.
Mar 10 2026
Saudi Aramco reports strong 2025 earnings and announces $3 billion share buyback
Saudi Aramco plunges to 1%49%
Saudi Aramco reported robust 2025 earnings despite lower oil prices and announced a $3 billion share buyback program over 18 months starting March 2026. These financial results and strategic capital management supported its market position amid energy sector volatility.
Mar 1 2026
Saudi Aramco stock surges amid rising oil prices from Iran conflict
Saudi Aramco's stock price increased due to higher oil prices driven by geopolitical tensions in Iran, boosting its market cap temporarily in early 2026.
Mar 1 2026
NVIDIA reports strong Q4 and fiscal 2026 earnings, exceeding expectations
NVIDIA jumps to 79%9%
NVIDIA's robust earnings report for Q4 and fiscal 2026 reinforced its growth trajectory in AI and data center markets, boosting investor confidence and market cap.
Feb 25 2026
NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2026
NVIDIA surges to 91%21%
NVIDIA released its Q4 2025 earnings, reporting record AI‑chip revenue, which lifted investor optimism and pushed the price toward the 90 % level.
Feb 25 2026
NVIDIA reports record $215.9 billion revenue with 65% growth in fiscal 2026
NVIDIA jumps to 83%13%
NVIDIA's fiscal 2026 results showed exceptional revenue growth driven by data center sales, reinforcing its market leadership in AI and semiconductor sectors, which significantly increased its market cap prospects.
Feb 25 2026
NVIDIA reports strong Q4 and fiscal 2026 financial results
NVIDIA jumps to 75%5%
NVIDIA's robust financial results for Q4 and fiscal 2026 confirmed its market leadership and growth prospects, driving its market cap higher and solidifying its position as the largest company by mid-2026.
Feb 17 2026
NVIDIA announces strong Q4 and fiscal 2026 financial results
NVIDIA surges to 70%27%
NVIDIA reported robust financial results for Q4 and fiscal 2026, reinforcing its leadership in AI and semiconductor markets, which boosted investor confidence and market cap prospects.
Feb 17 2026
NVIDIA announces record fourth quarter and fiscal 2026 financial results
NVIDIA reported $215.9 billion revenue with 65% growth, confirming its leadership in AI and driving its market cap to new highs.
Feb 17 2026
NVIDIA reports strong Q4 and fiscal 2026 financial results
NVIDIA surges to 75%15%
NVIDIA's robust financial results for Q4 and fiscal 2026, including revenue and profit growth, reinforced its market leadership in AI chips, driving a significant price increase in the prediction market.
Feb 17 2026
NVIDIA reports record $215.9B revenue with 65% growth in fiscal 2026
NVIDIA surges to 78%31%
NVIDIA's financial results demonstrated exceptional growth, reinforcing its market leadership and driving the price from 47% to 78%.
Feb 17 2026
Alphabet announces $80 billion equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet drops to 16%13%
Alphabet's large equity raise aimed at expanding AI infrastructure indicated aggressive investment in AI, but also raised concerns about dilution and capital allocation, pressuring its market cap.
Feb 17 2026
NVIDIA reports record $215.9 billion revenue with 65% growth in fiscal 2026
NVIDIA jumps to 79%13%
NVIDIA's strong financial results with record revenue and high growth rate reinforced its position as a leading AI and data center company, boosting investor confidence and market cap.
Feb 6 2026
Amazon announces huge capital expenditure increase for 2026
Amazon plunges to 1%49%
Amazon revealed plans for a significant increase in capital expenditures to expand infrastructure and AI capabilities, but this did not translate into market cap gains, with its probability declining.
Feb 6 2026
Stifel downgrades Microsoft rating to Hold, cuts price target
Analyst downgrade reflected caution on Microsoft's AI growth prospects, further pressuring its stock and contributing to the continued decline in market cap probability to near zero.
Feb 4 2026
Alphabet releases Q4 2025 earnings with record revenues driven by AI investments
Alphabet jumps to 26%14%
Alphabet's strong financial results fueled by AI infrastructure investments temporarily boosted investor sentiment, but did not significantly challenge NVIDIA's lead.
Jan 29 2026
Microsoft reports strong Q2 FY2026 earnings but stock drops 10%
Microsoft drops to 43%7%
Despite beating earnings estimates, Microsoft’s stock fell sharply due to investor concerns over its heavy investments in AI and OpenAI exposure, leading to a decline in its market cap probability from 50% to 43% and continuing downward trend to 0%.
Jan 28 2026
Tesla announces end of Model S and X production to focus on robotics
Tesla plunges to 2%48%
Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced plans to discontinue production of Model S and X to shift focus towards robotics, including the Tesla Optimus humanoid robot. This strategic pivot led to a decline in Tesla's market cap probability as investors reassessed growth prospects.
Jan 26 2026
Saudi Aramco Successfully Prices $4 Billion Bond Issuance
Saudi Aramco rises to 1%1%
Saudi Aramco tapped international debt markets with a multi-tranche bond sale to fund capital expenditures and transition projects amid volatile oil prices.
Jan 22 2026
Analyst predicts NVIDIA market cap to reach $6 trillion in 2026
A prominent analyst forecasted NVIDIA's market cap to grow to $6 trillion in 2026, reflecting strong investor optimism about the company's AI leadership and growth potential.
Jan 15 2026
Elon Musk Announces Tesla Strategic Shift to Discontinue Model S and X to Focus on Robotics
Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced plans to discontinue production of the Model S and X to focus heavily on robotics, including the Optimus humanoid robot, shifting the company's long-term valuation narrative.
Jan 15 2026
Tesla CEO Elon Musk announces shift to robotics focus, ending Model S and X production
Tesla plunges to 1%49%
Tesla's strategic pivot towards robotics and autonomy signaled a major change in business focus, impacting investor confidence and market cap prospects negatively in the short term.
Jan 12 2026
Alphabet announces $80 billion equity raise for AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet drops to 16%13%
Alphabet's large equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion reflected strong AI sector growth but also diluted shares, contributing to a decline in its market cap probability in the market.
Jan 7 2026
Alphabet's Market Cap Surpasses Apple's for First Time Since 2019
Alphabet surges to 29%17%
Alphabet's market capitalization briefly overtook Apple's, signaling a structural shift in megacap valuations driven by AI monetization versus hardware saturation.
Jan 6 2026
Saudi Arabia to Open Financial Market to All Foreign Investors
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
The Capital Markets Authority announced plans to eliminate the Qualified Foreign Investor concept to boost liquidity, though fund managers remained cautious due to lower oil prices.
Jan 5 2026
Tesla announces AI lab partnership with Eli Lilly to advance drug discovery
Tesla rises to 11%4%
Tesla's expansion into AI-driven drug discovery through a partnership with Eli Lilly signaled diversification and innovation, positively impacting investor sentiment.
Jan 5 2026
NVIDIA and Lilly Announce Co‑Innovation AI Lab to Reinvent Drug Discovery
NVIDIA surges to 73%23%
NVIDIA and Eli Lilly announced a co‑innovation AI lab for drug discovery, brightening long‑term growth expectations and nudging the price upward.
Jan 5 2026
NVIDIA and Eli Lilly announce AI lab to reinvent drug discovery
NVIDIA surges to 70%16%
NVIDIA's partnership with Eli Lilly to co-innovate AI-driven drug discovery showcased its expanding AI applications beyond hardware, positively impacting its market cap and investor sentiment in early 2026.
Dec 22 2025
Tesla reaches all-time high stock price amid strong vehicle deliveries
Tesla jumps to 7%5%
Tesla's stock peaked due to robust vehicle delivery numbers and optimism about future growth, temporarily boosting its market cap prospects.
Dec 22 2025
Alphabet announces acquisition of Intersect Power to boost AI energy infrastructure
Alphabet plunges to 28%22%
Alphabet announced a $4.75 billion acquisition of Intersect Power, a developer of data center and energy infrastructure, to support its AI compute capacity needs. This strategic move aimed to enhance Alphabet's AI infrastructure, positively impacting investor confidence in its growth prospects.
Dec 2 2025
Apple announces AI upgrades to Siri and ecosystem apps
Apple drops to 7%5%
Apple revealed AI enhancements to Siri and other apps, aiming to sustain iPhone demand and improve its AI ecosystem, but market reaction was muted, leading to a decline in Apple's market cap probability.
Nov 15 2025
Saudi Aramco market cap reaches about $1.68 trillion in November 2025
Saudi Aramco plunges to 1%49%
Saudi Aramco's market capitalization stabilized around $1.68 trillion, reflecting its strong position in the energy sector but not enough to challenge tech giants' growth.
Nov 15 2025
NVIDIA faces temporary market cap pullback amid profit-taking
NVIDIA plunges to 69%15%
Following its record highs, NVIDIA's stock experienced a pullback due to profit-taking and market volatility, causing a temporary dip in market cap but maintaining overall growth trajectory.
Nov 15 2025
Saudi Aramco market cap around $1.68 trillion in November 2025
In November 2025, Saudi Aramco's shares traded at 25.8 Saudi riyals, giving it a market capitalization of approximately $1.68 trillion, confirming its position as a top global energy company.
Nov 3 2025
Alphabet raises planned share sale to $84.75 billion including mandatory convertibles
Alphabet plunges to 3%47%
Alphabet's large share sale increased supply and diluted value, negatively impacting its market cap prospects and investor sentiment.
NVIDIA reached a historic market cap milestone of $5 trillion, driven by strong AI demand and GPU sales, marking it as the first company to reach this valuation and boosting investor confidence.
Oct 29 2025
NVIDIA Becomes First Company to Hit Historic $5 Trillion Market Cap
NVIDIA jumps to 84%14%
NVIDIA reached a historic $5 trillion valuation driven by massive demand for its H100 and Blackwell AI chips, securing its position as the dominant player in AI infrastructure.
Oct 22 2025
NVIDIA breaches $5 trillion market cap milestone
NVIDIA surges to 70%25%
NVIDIA became the first company to surpass a $5 trillion market capitalization, marking a historic milestone that significantly increased its market confidence and price.
Oct 15 2025
Alphabet becomes fourth company to top $3 trillion market cap
Alphabet's milestone of reaching a $3 trillion market cap highlighted its strong position in AI and digital advertising, temporarily boosting its market confidence despite later declines.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding lead at 92.5% implied probability reflects its sustained dominance in AI accelerators and graphics processing units, which have propelled its market capitalization well ahead of peers like Alphabet and Apple as of mid-June 2026. Strong demand for its data center hardware continues to drive revenue growth and investor confidence, widening the gap in a competitive semiconductor landscape. With resolution just weeks away, limited time remains for meaningful shifts, though unexpected macroeconomic pressures, earnings surprises from rivals, or broader market rotations could theoretically narrow the margin if they trigger sharp relative declines.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
NVIDIA's commanding lead at 92.5% implied probability reflects its sustained dominance in AI accelerators and graphics processing units, which have propelled its market capitalization well ahead of peers like Alphabet and Apple as of mid-June 2026. Strong demand for its data center hardware continues to drive revenue growth and investor confidence, widening the gap in a competitive semiconductor landscape. With resolution just weeks away, limited time remains for meaningful shifts, though unexpected macroeconomic pressures, earnings surprises from rivals, or broader market rotations could theoretically narrow the margin if they trigger sharp relative declines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Jun 9 2026
NVIDIA market cap reaches $5.053 trillion, becoming world's largest company
NVIDIA jumps to 96%7%
NVIDIA's market cap surpassed $5 trillion in June 2026, confirming its position as the largest company globally by market capitalization at the end of June 2026.
Jun 8 2026
Apple announces new AI platform at WWDC, stock slides on mixed reception
Apple dips to 2%2%
Apple unveiled a new AI platform that underwhelmed some investors, leading to a decline in its stock price and a drop in its market cap probability.
Jun 8 2026
NVIDIA reaches $5 trillion market cap, becoming world's most valuable company
NVIDIA jumps to 96%6%
NVIDIA's market capitalization hitting $5 trillion in June 2026 confirmed its position as the largest company globally, driving the prediction market price to its peak near resolution.
Jun 8 2026
Alphabet announces cash dividend with ex-date June 8, 2026
Alphabet drops to 3%7%
Alphabet declared a cash dividend, reflecting strong financial health and shareholder returns, but this did not significantly affect its market cap relative to NVIDIA.
Jun 6 2026
NVIDIA becomes first company worth $5 trillion
NVIDIA rises to 92%3%
NVIDIA achieved a historic market capitalization of $5 trillion, cementing its position as the world's largest company by market cap at the end of June 2026.
Jun 5 2026
NVIDIA stock plunges over 6%, wiping out $320 billion in market value
NVIDIA plunges to 70%24%
NVIDIA experienced a sharp single-day drop in stock price, erasing significant market value due to profit-taking and market volatility, causing a temporary dip in its market cap probability.
Jun 5 2026
SpaceX and Alphabet announce multi-year cloud service agreement
Alphabet drops to 4%5%
On June 5, 2026, SpaceX and Alphabet announced a multi-year cloud service agreement involving significant compute capacity, including Nvidia GPUs, enhancing Alphabet's AI infrastructure capabilities.
Jun 5 2026
NVIDIA stock hits record close, pushing market cap over $5 trillion again
NVIDIA jumps to 96%6%
NVIDIA's stock reached a record closing high, reaffirming its position as the world's most valuable company by market cap.
Jun 5 2026
SpaceX IPO hype boosts Tesla investor sentiment
Speculation around SpaceX's IPO positively influenced Tesla's investor sentiment, though Tesla's market cap remained low compared to tech giants.
Jun 5 2026
Alphabet raises planned share sale to $84.75B amid cloud growth
Alphabet dips to 4%3%
Alphabet announced a large share sale plan to fund cloud and AI expansion, reflecting strong growth but also dilution concerns, contributing to a decline in market cap probability.
Jun 5 2026
Tesla receives stock upgrade from J.P. Morgan amid rising EV sales
Tesla's stock upgrade and strong EV sales in April 2026 provided some positive momentum, but overall market confidence remained very low, reflecting challenges in surpassing tech giants in market cap.
Jun 5 2026
NVIDIA becomes first company ever worth $5 trillion
NVIDIA rises to 91%2%
NVIDIA's market cap milestone of $5 trillion solidified its status as the world's largest company by market cap, driving the market's final resolution.
Jun 4 2026
NVIDIA announces cash dividend with ex-date June 4, 2026
NVIDIA rises to 95%4%
NVIDIA's announcement of a cash dividend reinforced its financial strength and shareholder value proposition, supporting its high market cap valuation near the market close date.
Jun 4 2026
Alphabet announces $80 billion equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet's large capital raise aimed at AI infrastructure expansion indicated aggressive growth plans, but market reaction was mixed amid high capital expenditures.
Jun 4 2026
Analysts reaffirm buy rating on NVIDIA after strong AI growth and earnings
NVIDIA jumps to 92%5%
Positive analyst sentiment and buy ratings reinforced NVIDIA's market leadership and contributed to its high market cap probability.
Jun 4 2026
Tesla sales rose 16% in April, led by strong EV demand
Tesla's sales growth in April 2026 reflected ongoing demand for electric vehicles, supporting its valuation but insufficient to regain top market cap status.
Jun 4 2026
NVIDIA market cap surpasses $5.2 trillion, becoming world's largest company
NVIDIA jumps to 96%5%
NVIDIA's market cap exceeding $5.2 trillion confirmed its position as the largest company globally by market cap, reflecting sustained investor confidence in its AI leadership.
Jun 4 2026
Apple prepares for WWDC 2026 with AI and software updates
Apple's upcoming WWDC 2026 event is anticipated to showcase AI advancements including a major Siri overhaul and new software updates, but competitive pressures and regulatory scrutiny have dampened its market cap prospects.
Jun 3 2026
Tesla stock stumbles amid strong China EV sales growth
Tesla dips to 0%1%
Tesla's stock declined due to competitive pressures from surging EV sales in China, contributing to its market cap probability falling to 0%.
Jun 3 2026
Amazon stock faces pressure despite new Prime business credit cards
Amazon dips to 0%1%
Amazon's stock faced downward pressure despite launching new credit card products, leading to a decline in market cap probability to 0%.
Jun 3 2026
Microsoft announces increasing capital expenditures squeezing short-term returns
Microsoft dips to 0%1%
Microsoft's rising capital spending raised investor concerns about short-term profitability, contributing to a decline in its market cap prospects relative to NVIDIA.
Jun 2 2026
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang Backs Marvell Technology with $2 Billion Investment
NVIDIA jumps to 96%5%
NVIDIA committed $2 billion to Marvell Technology to develop photonic chip technology, boosting Marvell's stock and reinforcing NVIDIA's leadership in AI hardware ecosystems.
Jun 2 2026
NVIDIA reaches record market cap of $5.296 trillion, becoming largest company
NVIDIA jumps to 95%5%
NVIDIA's market cap surpassed $5 trillion in early June 2026, driven by AI leadership and strong earnings, solidifying its position as the world's largest company by market cap.
Jun 2 2026
HSBC lowers Alphabet price target amid AI competition concerns
Alphabet drops to 2%5%
HSBC's reduction of Alphabet's price target reflected investor concerns about intense AI competition and capital expenditure dilution, contributing to Alphabet's low market confidence near June 2026.
Jun 2 2026
NVIDIA reaches all-time high market cap of $5.224 trillion
NVIDIA rises to 93%4%
NVIDIA's market cap surpasses all competitors, confirming its position as the world's largest company by market capitalization.
Jun 2 2026
Apple's market cap declines amid competitive pressures and AI sector shifts
Apple drops to 3%9%
Apple's market cap dropped significantly due to competitive pressures in AI and technology sectors, reflected in its market cap probability falling to 3%.
Jun 2 2026
Microsoft announces sweeping AI initiatives at Build 2026 conference
Microsoft drops to 0%14%
Microsoft unveiled a broad slate of AI initiatives including autonomous workplace assistants, new AI models, and a next-gen quantum computing chip, aiming to strengthen its AI ecosystem amid competitive pressures.
Jun 2 2026
Alphabet raises $80 billion in equity offering to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet drops to 2%5%
Alphabet announced an $80 billion equity raise including public issuance and private placement with Berkshire Hathaway to finance massive AI infrastructure growth, which diluted shares and contributed to a decline in market cap confidence.
Jun 1 2026
Alphabet Announces Plans to Raise $80 Billion in Equity Offerings for AI Infrastructure
Alphabet plunges to 6%24%
Alphabet announced a massive $80 billion capital raise through equity offerings to fund its expanding AI infrastructure, triggering concerns over dilution and capital spend cycles.
Jun 1 2026
Alphabet launches $40 billion at-the-market equity program to fund AI expansion
Alphabet drops to 5%10%
Alphabet's large equity raise aimed to finance AI infrastructure growth but diluted shares and raised concerns about capital spending, contributing to a decline in market cap confidence.
Jun 1 2026
Alphabet launches at-the-market program to sell up to $40 billion in shares
Alphabet dips to 4%3%
Alphabet's large share sale program raised concerns about dilution and pressured its stock price, contributing to a decline in market cap prospects.
Jun 1 2026
NVIDIA launches new N1X processor co-developed with Microsoft and MediaTek
NVIDIA rises to 93%2%
NVIDIA unveiled the N1X processor at Computex 2026, co-developed with Microsoft and MediaTek, targeting Windows laptops and boosting its AI hardware leadership, which positively influenced its market cap.
Jun 1 2026
Amazon announces Prime Day 2026 event from June 23-26
Amazon's announcement of its Prime Day event aimed to boost summer sales, but it did not significantly affect its market cap prospects amid strong competition and slower growth.
Jun 1 2026
Alphabet announces $80 billion equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet plunges to 3%29%
Alphabet's large equity offering to finance AI infrastructure expansion caused investor dilution concerns, contributing to a steep drop in its market cap probability.
Jun 1 2026
Tesla stock plunges amid competition and liability concerns
Tesla dips to 0%2%
Tesla's stock dropped sharply due to rising competition in robotaxis and liability issues, leading to a collapse in its market cap probability to near zero by June 2026.
Jun 1 2026
Morgan Stanley cites WWDC 2026 as key catalyst for Apple AI repositioning
Analyst optimism about Apple's AI initiatives ahead of WWDC 2026 provided some support but was insufficient to reverse the overall downtrend.
May 29 2026
Apple stock hits all-time high of $315 amid strong App Store sales
Apple dips to 5%1%
Apple's record stock price reflected strong digital sales and services growth but was insufficient to maintain its lead over NVIDIA in market cap.
May 29 2026
Apple shares fall amid global smartphone market slowdown
Apple drops to 5%9%
Apple's declining market share and slowing growth in key product segments led to a sharp drop in investor confidence and market cap.
May 18 2026
Alphabet Inc. Class A stock hits 52-week high amid strong earnings
Alphabet jumps to 10%5%
Alphabet's stock reached a 52-week high driven by robust earnings and growth in advertising and cloud services, temporarily boosting its market cap in mid-2026.
May 18 2026
Alphabet Class A stock hits 52-week high amid AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet surges to 29%20%
Alphabet's stock reached a 52-week high due to plans to raise $80 billion for AI infrastructure expansion, briefly boosting its market cap but not enough to surpass NVIDIA.
May 18 2026
Alphabet reaches all-time high amid AI revenue growth and equity raise
Alphabet jumps to 14%7%
Alphabet's stock hit an all-time high on May 18, 2026, driven by strong AI-related revenue growth and an expanded equity raise to fund AI compute infrastructure, boosting market cap prospects.
May 16 2026
NVIDIA stock peaks near all-time high on AI infrastructure dominance
NVIDIA jumps to 94%5%
NVIDIA's stock peaked near its all-time high in mid-May 2026, reflecting its dominant position in AI infrastructure and investor confidence in sustained growth.
May 14 2026
NVIDIA stock reaches all-time high of $236.54 amid AI sector surge
NVIDIA rises to 90%3%
NVIDIA's stock peaked at an all-time high driven by AI sector enthusiasm and strong earnings, pushing market cap probability to 90%.
May 14 2026
NVIDIA Shares Reach All‑Time High of $236.54, Market Cap Tops $5 T
NVIDIA jumps to 96%7%
NVIDIA’s share price hit an all‑time high of $236.54, propelling its market cap past the $5 trillion threshold and cementing its status as the world’s largest company, which was reflected in the market’s probability chart.
May 14 2026
NVIDIA stock hits all-time high amid AI infrastructure ramp-up
NVIDIA rises to 92%3%
NVIDIA's stock reached a record high as its Vera Rubin AI rack-scale solutions entered full production, highlighting its dominance in AI hardware and driving investor enthusiasm.
May 14 2026
NVIDIA stock hits 52-week high of $236.54
NVIDIA rises to 92%2%
NVIDIA reached a 52-week high, reflecting strong AI-driven growth and investor enthusiasm, pushing its market cap probability near peak levels.
May 11 2026
NVIDIA announces major AI and robotics software expansions at GTC 2026
NVIDIA jumps to 91%12%
At GTC 2026, NVIDIA unveiled new AI software platforms and partnerships enhancing its leadership in AI and robotics, reinforcing investor confidence and driving its market cap to new highs.
May 10 2026
Analysts raise earnings estimates for Alphabet on AI growth prospects
Alphabet surges to 29%15%
Rising analyst earnings estimates for Alphabet due to AI-related revenue growth improved investor sentiment, but market cap gains were limited compared to NVIDIA.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco reports strong Q1 2026 results with 26% profit margin
Saudi Aramco published Q1 2026 results showing a 26% profit margin and 8.8% revenue growth, supported by high oil prices and refining margins, stabilizing its market cap outlook.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco plans up to $35 billion asset sales to raise capital
Saudi Aramco's announcement of significant asset sales aimed at raising capital indicated strategic financial moves but did not boost its market cap significantly amid global energy market uncertainties.
May 10 2026
Alphabet projects $190 billion capital expenditure for AI infrastructure in 2026
Alphabet rises to 29%4%
Alphabet's announcement of a massive increase in AI infrastructure spending demonstrated its commitment to AI growth, temporarily boosting investor interest despite a declining market cap trend.
May 10 2026
Alphabet's AI success positions it to become world's biggest company
Alphabet jumps to 29%7%
Strong AI-driven earnings growth and infrastructure investments led analysts to raise earnings estimates for Alphabet, temporarily increasing its market cap and investor optimism.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco plans $35 billion asset sales to raise capital
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Saudi Aramco's announcement of significant asset sales to raise capital reflected strategic financial management but did not boost its market cap significantly amid energy market conditions.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco reports 26% net income increase in Q1 2026
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Strong Q1 2026 financial results with a 26% net income increase demonstrated operational strength but did not translate into market cap growth amid broader market trends.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco publishes Q1 2026 results with 3.5% dividend increase
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Saudi Aramco reported strong earnings and increased dividends, but its market cap remained significantly lower than tech giants, reflected in its low market probability.
May 10 2026
Saudi Aramco publishes strong Q1 2026 results with 3.5% dividend increase
Saudi Aramco's Q1 2026 results showed increased dividends and solid earnings, but market confidence remained low relative to NVIDIA, reflected in its stagnant market probability.
May 9 2026
Saudi Aramco Reports Surge in Q1 2026 Net Profit to $32.5 Billion
Aramco beat analyst expectations due to the East-West Pipeline reaching maximum throughput, bypassing the disrupted Strait of Hormuz.
May 6 2026
Anthropic Reportedly Commits to $200 Billion Google Cloud Spend
Alphabet drops to 10%13%
Reports of a massive five-year compute commitment from Anthropic pushed Alphabet's market cap within striking distance of NVIDIA's top spot.
May 1 2026
Alphabet projects $190 billion capital expenditures for AI infrastructure in 2026
Alphabet rises to 14%1%
Alphabet's announcement of massive AI infrastructure investment highlighted its AI ambitions, temporarily boosting investor sentiment though it did not translate into sustained market cap gains.
Apr 29 2026
Saudi Aramco market cap reported at 6.67 trillion SAR
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Saudi Aramco's market capitalization was reported at 6.67 trillion Saudi Riyals (~$1.78 trillion), reflecting steady oil production and dividend growth but insufficient to challenge tech giants' market caps.
Apr 29 2026
Saudi Arabian Oil Company market cap reported at 6.67 trillion SAR (~$1.78 trillion)
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Saudi Aramco's market cap remained stable with strong oil production and dividend growth, but it did not close the gap with tech leaders.
Apr 27 2026
NVIDIA Market Cap Hits Record $5.26 Trillion to Cement Status as World's Most Valuable Firm
NVIDIA jumps to 89%10%
NVIDIA's market capitalization reached an unprecedented $5.26 trillion, setting a new record for publicly traded companies and driving its market probability up.
Apr 27 2026
NVIDIA stock peaks near $236 amid AI rack-scale solution ramp-up
NVIDIA jumps to 91%13%
NVIDIA's stock price peaked near $236 in late April 2026, driven by the ramp-up of its Vera Rubin AI rack-scale solutions, signaling strong growth in AI infrastructure demand.
Apr 24 2026
NVIDIA Reclaims $5 Trillion Market Cap Crown on AI Chip Demand
NVIDIA plunges to 65%26%
NVIDIA's stock surged 4.3% to close at a record high, reclaiming its $5 trillion valuation following strong semiconductor sector earnings.
Apr 22 2026
NVIDIA reaches 91% market cap probability amid AI infrastructure expansion
NVIDIA jumps to 91%13%
NVIDIA's market cap probability peaked as the company solidified its position as the leading AI chipmaker, supported by expanding AI cloud partnerships and product launches.
Apr 22 2026
Tesla Q1 2026 earnings reveal production ramp-up and Robotaxi progress
Tesla dips to 1%1%
Tesla released Q1 2026 earnings showing increased vehicle production and deployment of energy storage products, alongside progress in its Robotaxi program. Despite operational growth, competitive pressures and regulatory challenges weighed on investor sentiment.
Apr 10 2026
Saudi Aramco announces $2-3 billion share buyback program starting March 2026
Saudi Aramco initiated a significant share buyback program to enhance shareholder value, supporting its stock price and market cap stability in 2026.
Apr 10 2026
Microsoft shares decline amid concerns over AI capital expenditures
Microsoft drops to 1%13%
Investor worries about Microsoft's heavy AI-related capital spending and uncertain returns led to a significant drop in its stock price and market cap prospects.
Mar 15 2026
Iranian drone strikes target Saudi Aramco refineries
Iranian drone attacks on Saudi Aramco's refineries raised concerns about production disruptions, causing volatility in the company's stock and market cap.
Mar 10 2026
Alphabet plans $80 billion equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet drops to 16%13%
Alphabet's announcement to raise $80 billion through equity sales to fund AI infrastructure expansion indicated aggressive investment in AI, impacting its stock negatively due to dilution concerns.
Mar 10 2026
Saudi Aramco Board Authorizes $3 Billion Share Repurchase Program
Saudi Aramco's Board of Directors authorized a share buyback plan of up to $3 billion over an 18-month period to support its stock value.
Mar 10 2026
Saudi Aramco's refineries targeted in Iranian drone strikes amid rising oil prices
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East caused volatility for Saudi Aramco, impacting its stock performance despite rising oil prices, which limited its market cap growth potential.
Mar 10 2026
Saudi Aramco reports strong 2025 earnings and announces $3 billion share buyback
Saudi Aramco plunges to 1%49%
Saudi Aramco reported robust 2025 earnings despite lower oil prices and announced a $3 billion share buyback program over 18 months starting March 2026. These financial results and strategic capital management supported its market position amid energy sector volatility.
Mar 1 2026
Saudi Aramco stock surges amid rising oil prices from Iran conflict
Saudi Aramco's stock price increased due to higher oil prices driven by geopolitical tensions in Iran, boosting its market cap temporarily in early 2026.
Mar 1 2026
NVIDIA reports strong Q4 and fiscal 2026 earnings, exceeding expectations
NVIDIA jumps to 79%9%
NVIDIA's robust earnings report for Q4 and fiscal 2026 reinforced its growth trajectory in AI and data center markets, boosting investor confidence and market cap.
Feb 25 2026
NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2026
NVIDIA surges to 91%21%
NVIDIA released its Q4 2025 earnings, reporting record AI‑chip revenue, which lifted investor optimism and pushed the price toward the 90 % level.
Feb 25 2026
NVIDIA reports record $215.9 billion revenue with 65% growth in fiscal 2026
NVIDIA jumps to 83%13%
NVIDIA's fiscal 2026 results showed exceptional revenue growth driven by data center sales, reinforcing its market leadership in AI and semiconductor sectors, which significantly increased its market cap prospects.
Feb 25 2026
NVIDIA reports strong Q4 and fiscal 2026 financial results
NVIDIA jumps to 75%5%
NVIDIA's robust financial results for Q4 and fiscal 2026 confirmed its market leadership and growth prospects, driving its market cap higher and solidifying its position as the largest company by mid-2026.
Feb 17 2026
NVIDIA announces strong Q4 and fiscal 2026 financial results
NVIDIA surges to 70%27%
NVIDIA reported robust financial results for Q4 and fiscal 2026, reinforcing its leadership in AI and semiconductor markets, which boosted investor confidence and market cap prospects.
Feb 17 2026
NVIDIA announces record fourth quarter and fiscal 2026 financial results
NVIDIA reported $215.9 billion revenue with 65% growth, confirming its leadership in AI and driving its market cap to new highs.
Feb 17 2026
NVIDIA reports strong Q4 and fiscal 2026 financial results
NVIDIA surges to 75%15%
NVIDIA's robust financial results for Q4 and fiscal 2026, including revenue and profit growth, reinforced its market leadership in AI chips, driving a significant price increase in the prediction market.
Feb 17 2026
NVIDIA reports record $215.9B revenue with 65% growth in fiscal 2026
NVIDIA surges to 78%31%
NVIDIA's financial results demonstrated exceptional growth, reinforcing its market leadership and driving the price from 47% to 78%.
Feb 17 2026
Alphabet announces $80 billion equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet drops to 16%13%
Alphabet's large equity raise aimed at expanding AI infrastructure indicated aggressive investment in AI, but also raised concerns about dilution and capital allocation, pressuring its market cap.
Feb 17 2026
NVIDIA reports record $215.9 billion revenue with 65% growth in fiscal 2026
NVIDIA jumps to 79%13%
NVIDIA's strong financial results with record revenue and high growth rate reinforced its position as a leading AI and data center company, boosting investor confidence and market cap.
Feb 6 2026
Amazon announces huge capital expenditure increase for 2026
Amazon plunges to 1%49%
Amazon revealed plans for a significant increase in capital expenditures to expand infrastructure and AI capabilities, but this did not translate into market cap gains, with its probability declining.
Feb 6 2026
Stifel downgrades Microsoft rating to Hold, cuts price target
Analyst downgrade reflected caution on Microsoft's AI growth prospects, further pressuring its stock and contributing to the continued decline in market cap probability to near zero.
Feb 4 2026
Alphabet releases Q4 2025 earnings with record revenues driven by AI investments
Alphabet jumps to 26%14%
Alphabet's strong financial results fueled by AI infrastructure investments temporarily boosted investor sentiment, but did not significantly challenge NVIDIA's lead.
Jan 29 2026
Microsoft reports strong Q2 FY2026 earnings but stock drops 10%
Microsoft drops to 43%7%
Despite beating earnings estimates, Microsoft’s stock fell sharply due to investor concerns over its heavy investments in AI and OpenAI exposure, leading to a decline in its market cap probability from 50% to 43% and continuing downward trend to 0%.
Jan 28 2026
Tesla announces end of Model S and X production to focus on robotics
Tesla plunges to 2%48%
Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced plans to discontinue production of Model S and X to shift focus towards robotics, including the Tesla Optimus humanoid robot. This strategic pivot led to a decline in Tesla's market cap probability as investors reassessed growth prospects.
Jan 26 2026
Saudi Aramco Successfully Prices $4 Billion Bond Issuance
Saudi Aramco rises to 1%1%
Saudi Aramco tapped international debt markets with a multi-tranche bond sale to fund capital expenditures and transition projects amid volatile oil prices.
Jan 22 2026
Analyst predicts NVIDIA market cap to reach $6 trillion in 2026
A prominent analyst forecasted NVIDIA's market cap to grow to $6 trillion in 2026, reflecting strong investor optimism about the company's AI leadership and growth potential.
Jan 15 2026
Elon Musk Announces Tesla Strategic Shift to Discontinue Model S and X to Focus on Robotics
Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced plans to discontinue production of the Model S and X to focus heavily on robotics, including the Optimus humanoid robot, shifting the company's long-term valuation narrative.
Jan 15 2026
Tesla CEO Elon Musk announces shift to robotics focus, ending Model S and X production
Tesla plunges to 1%49%
Tesla's strategic pivot towards robotics and autonomy signaled a major change in business focus, impacting investor confidence and market cap prospects negatively in the short term.
Jan 12 2026
Alphabet announces $80 billion equity raise for AI infrastructure expansion
Alphabet drops to 16%13%
Alphabet's large equity raise to fund AI infrastructure expansion reflected strong AI sector growth but also diluted shares, contributing to a decline in its market cap probability in the market.
Jan 7 2026
Alphabet's Market Cap Surpasses Apple's for First Time Since 2019
Alphabet surges to 29%17%
Alphabet's market capitalization briefly overtook Apple's, signaling a structural shift in megacap valuations driven by AI monetization versus hardware saturation.
Jan 6 2026
Saudi Arabia to Open Financial Market to All Foreign Investors
Saudi Aramco dips to 0%1%
The Capital Markets Authority announced plans to eliminate the Qualified Foreign Investor concept to boost liquidity, though fund managers remained cautious due to lower oil prices.
Jan 5 2026
Tesla announces AI lab partnership with Eli Lilly to advance drug discovery
Tesla rises to 11%4%
Tesla's expansion into AI-driven drug discovery through a partnership with Eli Lilly signaled diversification and innovation, positively impacting investor sentiment.
Jan 5 2026
NVIDIA and Lilly Announce Co‑Innovation AI Lab to Reinvent Drug Discovery
NVIDIA surges to 73%23%
NVIDIA and Eli Lilly announced a co‑innovation AI lab for drug discovery, brightening long‑term growth expectations and nudging the price upward.
Jan 5 2026
NVIDIA and Eli Lilly announce AI lab to reinvent drug discovery
NVIDIA surges to 70%16%
NVIDIA's partnership with Eli Lilly to co-innovate AI-driven drug discovery showcased its expanding AI applications beyond hardware, positively impacting its market cap and investor sentiment in early 2026.
Dec 22 2025
Tesla reaches all-time high stock price amid strong vehicle deliveries
Tesla jumps to 7%5%
Tesla's stock peaked due to robust vehicle delivery numbers and optimism about future growth, temporarily boosting its market cap prospects.
Dec 22 2025
Alphabet announces acquisition of Intersect Power to boost AI energy infrastructure
Alphabet plunges to 28%22%
Alphabet announced a $4.75 billion acquisition of Intersect Power, a developer of data center and energy infrastructure, to support its AI compute capacity needs. This strategic move aimed to enhance Alphabet's AI infrastructure, positively impacting investor confidence in its growth prospects.
Dec 2 2025
Apple announces AI upgrades to Siri and ecosystem apps
Apple drops to 7%5%
Apple revealed AI enhancements to Siri and other apps, aiming to sustain iPhone demand and improve its AI ecosystem, but market reaction was muted, leading to a decline in Apple's market cap probability.
Nov 15 2025
Saudi Aramco market cap reaches about $1.68 trillion in November 2025
Saudi Aramco plunges to 1%49%
Saudi Aramco's market capitalization stabilized around $1.68 trillion, reflecting its strong position in the energy sector but not enough to challenge tech giants' growth.
Nov 15 2025
NVIDIA faces temporary market cap pullback amid profit-taking
NVIDIA plunges to 69%15%
Following its record highs, NVIDIA's stock experienced a pullback due to profit-taking and market volatility, causing a temporary dip in market cap but maintaining overall growth trajectory.
Nov 15 2025
Saudi Aramco market cap around $1.68 trillion in November 2025
In November 2025, Saudi Aramco's shares traded at 25.8 Saudi riyals, giving it a market capitalization of approximately $1.68 trillion, confirming its position as a top global energy company.
Nov 3 2025
Alphabet raises planned share sale to $84.75 billion including mandatory convertibles
Alphabet plunges to 3%47%
Alphabet's large share sale increased supply and diluted value, negatively impacting its market cap prospects and investor sentiment.
NVIDIA reached a historic market cap milestone of $5 trillion, driven by strong AI demand and GPU sales, marking it as the first company to reach this valuation and boosting investor confidence.
Oct 29 2025
NVIDIA Becomes First Company to Hit Historic $5 Trillion Market Cap
NVIDIA jumps to 84%14%
NVIDIA reached a historic $5 trillion valuation driven by massive demand for its H100 and Blackwell AI chips, securing its position as the dominant player in AI infrastructure.
Oct 22 2025
NVIDIA breaches $5 trillion market cap milestone
NVIDIA surges to 70%25%
NVIDIA became the first company to surpass a $5 trillion market capitalization, marking a historic milestone that significantly increased its market confidence and price.
Oct 15 2025
Alphabet becomes fourth company to top $3 trillion market cap
Alphabet's milestone of reaching a $3 trillion market cap highlighted its strong position in AI and digital advertising, temporarily boosting its market confidence despite later declines.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання
«Найбільша компанія на кінець червня?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «NVIDIA» з 93%, далі «Alphabet» з 4%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.
Станом на сьогодні, «Найбільша компанія на кінець червня?» згенерував $21.5 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Oct 10, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.
Щоб торгувати на «Найбільша компанія на кінець червня?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.
Поточний фаворит для «Найбільша компанія на кінець червня?» — «NVIDIA» з 93%. Наступний — «Alphabet» з 4%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.
Правила вирішення для «Найбільша компанія на кінець червня?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.
Так. Вам не потрібно торгувати, щоб бути в курсі. Ця сторінка служить трекером наживо для «Найбільша компанія на кінець червня?». Ймовірності результатів оновлюються в реальному часі з новими угодами. Збережіть сторінку та перегляньте коментарі інших трейдерів.
Шанси Polymarket встановлюються реальними трейдерами, які вкладають реальні гроші, що сприяє точним прогнозам. З $21.5 million торгового обсягу на «Найбільша компанія на кінець червня?» ці ціни агрегують колективні знання тисяч учасників. Polymarket має місячний показник точності 94%. Для актуальної статистики точності відвідайте сторінку точності на Polymarket.
Щоб зробити першу угоду на «Найбільша компанія на кінець червня?», зареєструйте безкоштовний акаунт на Polymarket та поповніть його криптою, кредитною чи дебетовою карткою або банківським переказом. Після поповнення поверніться на цю сторінку, оберіть результат, введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви новачок на ринках прогнозів, натисніть «Як це працює» вгорі будь-якої сторінки Polymarket.
На Polymarket ціна кожного результату відображає ймовірність ринку. Ціна 93¢ для «NVIDIA» на ринку «Найбільша компанія на кінець червня?» означає, що трейдери колективно оцінюють шанс цього результату приблизно в 93%. Якщо ви купите акції «Так» за 93¢ і результат правильний, ви отримаєте $1.00 за акцію — прибуток 7¢ за акцію.
Ринок «Найбільша компанія на кінець червня?» запланований до вирішення приблизно Jun 30, 2026. Торгівля залишатиметься відкритою, а шанси продовжуватимуть змінюватися з появою нової інформації до цієї дати.
Ринок «Найбільша компанія на кінець червня?» має активна спільнота з 1,307 коментарями, де трейдери діляться аналізом, обговорюють результати та останні новини. Прокрутіть вниз до розділу коментарів. Ви також можете фільтрувати за «Топ власники» або переглянути вкладку «Активність» для стрічки угод у реальному часі.
Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де ви можете бути в курсі подій та заробляти на знаннях реальних подій. Трейдери купують і продають акції на результати тем від політики та виборів до крипто, фінансів, спорту, технологій та культури, включаючи ринки, як «Найбільша компанія на кінець червня?». Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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