Recent U.S. military actions in Venezuela and the Iran conflict earlier in 2026, including the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, resolved without triggering wider regional war, sustained economic collapse, or additional major power interventions. Traders assign an 83% probability to “Yes” amid subsequent diplomatic de-escalation signals, contained oil market effects, and the absence of fresh escalations through mid-year. Domestic U.S. government funding negotiations and the ongoing FIFA World Cup preparations have also proceeded without triggering new systemic disruptions. This pricing reflects crowd-sourced assessment that the balance of scheduled electoral, legislative, and diplomatic events through December is unlikely to produce further high-impact shocks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วไม่มีอะไรเกิดขึ้นเลย: 2026
ไม่มีอะไรเกิดขึ้นเลย: 2026
ใช่
$621,248 ปริมาณ
$621,248 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
$621,248 ปริมาณ
$621,248 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfRecent U.S. military actions in Venezuela and the Iran conflict earlier in 2026, including the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, resolved without triggering wider regional war, sustained economic collapse, or additional major power interventions. Traders assign an 83% probability to “Yes” amid subsequent diplomatic de-escalation signals, contained oil market effects, and the absence of fresh escalations through mid-year. Domestic U.S. government funding negotiations and the ongoing FIFA World Cup preparations have also proceeded without triggering new systemic disruptions. This pricing reflects crowd-sourced assessment that the balance of scheduled electoral, legislative, and diplomatic events through December is unlikely to produce further high-impact shocks.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$621,248วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfRecent U.S. military actions in Venezuela and the Iran conflict earlier in 2026, including the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, resolved without triggering wider regional war, sustained economic collapse, or additional major power interventions. Traders assign an 83% probability to “Yes” amid subsequent diplomatic de-escalation signals, contained oil market effects, and the absence of fresh escalations through mid-year. Domestic U.S. government funding negotiations and the ongoing FIFA World Cup preparations have also proceeded without triggering new systemic disruptions. This pricing reflects crowd-sourced assessment that the balance of scheduled electoral, legislative, and diplomatic events through December is unlikely to produce further high-impact shocks.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$621,248วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. military actions in Venezuela and the Iran conflict earlier in 2026, including the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, resolved without triggering wider regional war, sustained economic collapse, or additional major power interventions. Traders assign an 83% probability to “Yes” amid subsequent diplomatic de-escalation signals, contained oil market effects, and the absence of fresh escalations through mid-year. Domestic U.S. government funding negotiations and the ongoing FIFA World Cup preparations have also proceeded without triggering new systemic disruptions. This pricing reflects crowd-sourced assessment that the balance of scheduled electoral, legislative, and diplomatic events through December is unlikely to produce further high-impact shocks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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