Traders favor "No" at 73% because extreme natural disasters meeting the market's strict thresholds, such as magnitude 9.0+ earthquakes or volcanic eruptions of VEI 6 or higher, remain historically infrequent. Official forecasts reinforce this view, with NOAA and Colorado State University projecting a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season of 8–14 named storms, compared with the long-term average of 14. Recent global risk assessments, including the World Economic Forum's 2026 report, show environmental risks slipping in priority amid stable seismic monitoring by the USGS and no elevated volcanic alerts. While billion-dollar weather events continue at typical rates, the probability of a single outlier catastrophe before year-end stays low absent major shifts in ocean temperatures or tectonic activity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNatural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster in 2026?
$222,056 ปริมาณ
$222,056 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$222,056 ปริมาณ
$222,056 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Traders favor "No" at 73% because extreme natural disasters meeting the market's strict thresholds, such as magnitude 9.0+ earthquakes or volcanic eruptions of VEI 6 or higher, remain historically infrequent. Official forecasts reinforce this view, with NOAA and Colorado State University projecting a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season of 8–14 named storms, compared with the long-term average of 14. Recent global risk assessments, including the World Economic Forum's 2026 report, show environmental risks slipping in priority amid stable seismic monitoring by the USGS and no elevated volcanic alerts. While billion-dollar weather events continue at typical rates, the probability of a single outlier catastrophe before year-end stays low absent major shifts in ocean temperatures or tectonic activity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$222,056วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Traders favor "No" at 73% because extreme natural disasters meeting the market's strict thresholds, such as magnitude 9.0+ earthquakes or volcanic eruptions of VEI 6 or higher, remain historically infrequent. Official forecasts reinforce this view, with NOAA and Colorado State University projecting a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season of 8–14 named storms, compared with the long-term average of 14. Recent global risk assessments, including the World Economic Forum's 2026 report, show environmental risks slipping in priority amid stable seismic monitoring by the USGS and no elevated volcanic alerts. While billion-dollar weather events continue at typical rates, the probability of a single outlier catastrophe before year-end stays low absent major shifts in ocean temperatures or tectonic activity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$222,056วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders favor "No" at 73% because extreme natural disasters meeting the market's strict thresholds, such as magnitude 9.0+ earthquakes or volcanic eruptions of VEI 6 or higher, remain historically infrequent. Official forecasts reinforce this view, with NOAA and Colorado State University projecting a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season of 8–14 named storms, compared with the long-term average of 14. Recent global risk assessments, including the World Economic Forum's 2026 report, show environmental risks slipping in priority amid stable seismic monitoring by the USGS and no elevated volcanic alerts. While billion-dollar weather events continue at typical rates, the probability of a single outlier catastrophe before year-end stays low absent major shifts in ocean temperatures or tectonic activity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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