Market icon
Геополитика·мировые дела

Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?

Market icon
Геополитика·мировые дела

Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?

июн. 30

дек. 31

июн. 30

дек. 31

Да

8% вероятность
Polymarket

$7,615,134 Объем

Да

8% вероятность
Polymarket

$7,615,134 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Chinese leader Xi Jinping's recent public activities and policy directives underscore trader consensus at 91.8% against his removal before 2027, reflecting his entrenched control within the Chinese Communist Party following the 2018 abolition of presidential term limits. On March 24, Xi made a rare inspection tour of the Xiongan New Area project—his fourth since 2017—urging officials to accelerate development tied to his legacy, signaling robust health and authority. Earlier in March, he unveiled the latest Five-Year Plan at the National People's Congress and oversaw military purges of top generals to rebuild command structures amid U.S. rivalry preparations. Planned diplomacy, including a potential rescheduled summit with U.S. President Trump in May, further reinforces stability, though late-breaking health events or internal factional challenges could shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$7,615,134
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Chinese leader Xi Jinping's recent public activities and policy directives underscore trader consensus at 91.8% against his removal before 2027, reflecting his entrenched control within the Chinese Communist Party following the 2018 abolition of presidential term limits. On March 24, Xi made a rare inspection tour of the Xiongan New Area project—his fourth since 2017—urging officials to accelerate development tied to his legacy, signaling robust health and authority. Earlier in March, he unveiled the latest Five-Year Plan at the National People's Congress and oversaw military purges of top generals to rebuild command structures amid U.S. rivalry preparations. Planned diplomacy, including a potential rescheduled summit with U.S. President Trump in May, further reinforces stability, though late-breaking health events or internal factional challenges could shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$7,615,134
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «уйдёт ли Си Цзиньпин до 2027 года?» с 8%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 8¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 8%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $7.6 million с момента запуска рынка Jul 3, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?» — «уйдёт ли Си Цзиньпин до 2027 года?» всего с 8%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.