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Геополитика·мировые дела

Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?

icon for Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?
Геополитика·мировые дела

Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?

июн. 30

дек. 31

июн. 30

дек. 31

Да

7% вероятность
Polymarket

$9,990,094 Объем

Да

7% вероятность
Polymarket

$9,990,094 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidated control over the Chinese Communist Party, military, and state institutions underpins the 93% trader consensus that he will remain in power through the end of 2026. Recent military purges, including investigations into senior Central Military Commission figures, have further centralized authority rather than exposing vulnerabilities. Public appearances, such as the May 2026 summit with U.S. President Trump in Beijing and March directives advancing the Healthy China Initiative, demonstrate uninterrupted leadership. With no designated successor and analysts widely expecting a fourth term at the 21st Party Congress in autumn 2027, any removal before the market’s December 2026 resolution would require an unprecedented event like sudden illness or elite upheaval, neither of which has materialized.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$9,990,094
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidated control over the Chinese Communist Party, military, and state institutions underpins the 93% trader consensus that he will remain in power through the end of 2026. Recent military purges, including investigations into senior Central Military Commission figures, have further centralized authority rather than exposing vulnerabilities. Public appearances, such as the May 2026 summit with U.S. President Trump in Beijing and March directives advancing the Healthy China Initiative, demonstrate uninterrupted leadership. With no designated successor and analysts widely expecting a fourth term at the 21st Party Congress in autumn 2027, any removal before the market’s December 2026 resolution would require an unprecedented event like sudden illness or elite upheaval, neither of which has materialized.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$9,990,094
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «уйдёт ли Си Цзиньпин до 2027 года?» с 7%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 7¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 7%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $10 million с момента запуска рынка Jul 3, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?» — «уйдёт ли Си Цзиньпин до 2027 года?» всего с 7%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Си Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.