Alberta's integration into the United States remains blocked by entrenched constitutional requirements in both countries, including amendments to Canada's federal structure and U.S. congressional approval for new states. No legislative initiatives, referendums, or official bilateral negotiations have emerged to advance such a change. Traders reflect this reality with near-unanimous consensus on the negative outcome, consistent with historical patterns where provinces maintain Canadian sovereignty absent extraordinary catalysts. Factors such as energy policy alignments or regional discontent have occasionally surfaced in public discourse but produced no measurable momentum toward annexation. Even in extended timeframes, the combination of voter thresholds, diplomatic hurdles, and institutional inertia continues to anchor expectations against any shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$2,191,975 Объем
$2,191,975 Объем
Да
$2,191,975 Объем
$2,191,975 Объем
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Alberta's integration into the United States remains blocked by entrenched constitutional requirements in both countries, including amendments to Canada's federal structure and U.S. congressional approval for new states. No legislative initiatives, referendums, or official bilateral negotiations have emerged to advance such a change. Traders reflect this reality with near-unanimous consensus on the negative outcome, consistent with historical patterns where provinces maintain Canadian sovereignty absent extraordinary catalysts. Factors such as energy policy alignments or regional discontent have occasionally surfaced in public discourse but produced no measurable momentum toward annexation. Even in extended timeframes, the combination of voter thresholds, diplomatic hurdles, and institutional inertia continues to anchor expectations against any shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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