Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic victory in the 2026 Wisconsin governor race at 76%, reflecting an open-seat dynamic after incumbent Tony Evers declined a third term last summer, alongside recent polls showing Democratic candidates holding narrow leads or ties against Republican frontrunner U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. A March 24 Marquette Law School survey found 65% undecided in the crowded Democratic primary—where state Rep. Francesca Hong leads slightly at 14%—versus Tiffany's 40% in the GOP primary, highlighting voter fluidity five months before the August 11 primaries. TIPP Insights polls from March 23 depict tight general election matchups, such as Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez (44%) over Tiffany (41%), amid Wisconsin's battleground status and low Trump approval ratings signaling potential Democratic turnout edges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Висконсина
Победитель выборов губернатора Висконсина
$10,166 Объем
$10,166 Объем

Демократ
76%

Республиканец
18%
$10,166 Объем
$10,166 Объем

Демократ
76%

Республиканец
18%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic victory in the 2026 Wisconsin governor race at 76%, reflecting an open-seat dynamic after incumbent Tony Evers declined a third term last summer, alongside recent polls showing Democratic candidates holding narrow leads or ties against Republican frontrunner U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. A March 24 Marquette Law School survey found 65% undecided in the crowded Democratic primary—where state Rep. Francesca Hong leads slightly at 14%—versus Tiffany's 40% in the GOP primary, highlighting voter fluidity five months before the August 11 primaries. TIPP Insights polls from March 23 depict tight general election matchups, such as Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez (44%) over Tiffany (41%), amid Wisconsin's battleground status and low Trump approval ratings signaling potential Democratic turnout edges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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