Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Greenland—a Danish autonomous territory—at just 7% likelihood for 2026, driven by the absence of any official military planning, congressional authorization, or Pentagon preparations amid strong diplomatic barriers. Recent rhetoric from President-elect Trump, who reiterated interest in acquiring Greenland for national security at a December 2024 rally, echoes his 2019 proposal but frames it as purchase talks, not force—prompting firm Danish rejections emphasizing sovereignty. As a NATO ally, Denmark's defense pact with the U.S. renders invasion geopolitically implausible, with no evidence of escalating tensions, Arctic resource disputes, or shifting alliances to justify action, aligning odds with historical non-aggression precedents.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоВторгнутся ли США в Гренландию в 2026 году?
Вторгнутся ли США в Гренландию в 2026 году?
Да
$1,230,596 Объем
$1,230,596 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Да
$1,230,596 Объем
$1,230,596 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Объем
$1,230,596Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,230,596Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Greenland—a Danish autonomous territory—at just 7% likelihood for 2026, driven by the absence of any official military planning, congressional authorization, or Pentagon preparations amid strong diplomatic barriers. Recent rhetoric from President-elect Trump, who reiterated interest in acquiring Greenland for national security at a December 2024 rally, echoes his 2019 proposal but frames it as purchase talks, not force—prompting firm Danish rejections emphasizing sovereignty. As a NATO ally, Denmark's defense pact with the U.S. renders invasion geopolitically implausible, with no evidence of escalating tensions, Arctic resource disputes, or shifting alliances to justify action, aligning odds with historical non-aggression precedents.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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