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Сможет ли Сегуро победить во всех округах Португалии?

Market icon

Сможет ли Сегуро победить во всех округах Португалии?

Ended: Feb 8

Ended: Feb 8

Да

>99% chance
Polymarket

$2,401,144 Объем

Да

>99% chance
Polymarket

$2,401,144 Объем

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes in the second round of this election in each electoral district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

For the purpose of this market, all of Portugal's districts include Aveiro, Azores, Beja, Braga, Bragança, Castelo Branco, Coimbra, Évora, Faro, Guarda, Leiria, Lisbon, Madeira, Portalegre, Porto, Santarém, Setúbal, Viana do Castelo, Vila Real, and Viseu. Overseas or foreign (estrangeiro) results will not be included.

This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election of all Portuguese electoral Districts, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (https://www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt/resultados/territorio-nacional).
Объем
$2,401,144
Дата окончания
Feb 8, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes in the second round of this election in each electoral district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. For the purpose of this market, all of Portugal's districts include Aveiro, Azores, Beja, Braga, Bragança, Castelo Branco, Coimbra, Évora, Faro, Guarda, Leiria, Lisbon, Madeira, Portalegre, Porto, Santarém, Setúbal, Viana do Castelo, Vila Real, and Viseu. Overseas or foreign (estrangeiro) results will not be included. This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election of all Portuguese electoral Districts, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (https://www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt/resultados/territorio-nacional).

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes in the second round of this election in each electoral district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

For the purpose of this market, all of Portugal's districts include Aveiro, Azores, Beja, Braga, Bragança, Castelo Branco, Coimbra, Évora, Faro, Guarda, Leiria, Lisbon, Madeira, Portalegre, Porto, Santarém, Setúbal, Viana do Castelo, Vila Real, and Viseu. Overseas or foreign (estrangeiro) results will not be included.

This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election of all Portuguese electoral Districts, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (https://www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt/resultados/territorio-nacional).
Объем
$2,401,144
Дата окончания
Feb 8, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes in the second round of this election in each electoral district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. For the purpose of this market, all of Portugal's districts include Aveiro, Azores, Beja, Braga, Bragança, Castelo Branco, Coimbra, Évora, Faro, Guarda, Leiria, Lisbon, Madeira, Portalegre, Porto, Santarém, Setúbal, Viana do Castelo, Vila Real, and Viseu. Overseas or foreign (estrangeiro) results will not be included. This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election of all Portuguese electoral Districts, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (https://www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt/resultados/territorio-nacional).

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Сможет ли Сегуро победить во всех округах Португалии?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Выиграет ли Сегуру во всех округах Португалии?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Сможет ли Сегуро победить во всех округах Португалии?" has generated $2.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Сможет ли Сегуро победить во всех округах Португалии?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Сможет ли Сегуро победить во всех округах Португалии?" is "Выиграет ли Сегуру во всех округах Португалии?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Сможет ли Сегуро победить во всех округах Португалии?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.