Market icon

Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?

Market icon

Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?

Ended: Jan 31

Mar 31

Ended: Jan 31

Mar 31

$3,094,809 Объем

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$3,094,809 Объем

Polymarket

1 января

$46,674 Объем

Нет

2 января

$43,862 Объем

Нет

3 января

$32,057 Объем

Да

4 января

$149,130 Объем

Нет

5 января

$39,924 Объем

Да

6 января

$74,343 Объем

Нет

7 января

$121,454 Объем

Да

8 января

$121,551 Объем

Да

9 января

$130,958 Объем

Нет

10 января

$76,801 Объем

Да

11 января

$56,361 Объем

Да

12 января

$84,888 Объем

Да

13 января

$124,311 Объем

Да

14 января

$64,884 Объем

Нет

15 января

$187,037 Объем

Да

16 января

$93,018 Объем

Нет

17 января

$78,334 Объем

Нет

18 января

$34,925 Объем

Нет

19 января

$49,672 Объем

Нет

20 января

$42,312 Объем

Нет

21 января

$165,199 Объем

Да

22 января

$61,434 Объем

Нет

23 января

$33,974 Объем

Нет

24 января

$46,123 Объем

Да

25 января

$88,605 Объем

Нет

26 января

$178,115 Объем

Нет

27 января

$188,948 Объем

Да

28 января

$198,778 Объем

Нет

29 января

$115,018 Объем

Да

30 января

$113,588 Объем

Да

31 января

$252,528 Объем

Да

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.

A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.

If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$3,094,809
Дата окончания
Jan 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3 января" at 100%, followed by "5 января" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?" has generated $3.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?" is "3 января" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5 января" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.