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Зарегистрирует ли Элон партию Америки к...?

Market icon

Зарегистрирует ли Элон партию Америки к...?

$1,143,371 Объем

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$1,143,371 Объем

Polymarket

31 июля

$599,086 Объем

Нет

31 августа

$19,106 Объем

Нет

30 сентября

$135,618 Объем

Нет

December 31

$389,561 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party named the “America Party” in the United States between July 5, 2025 and July 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets. Minor name variations that clearly refer to the same party—such as “American Party,” “The America Party,” or similar—will also qualify, provided credible reporting confirms the intent and connection to Musk. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party named the “America Party” in the United States between July 5, 2025 and August 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets. Minor name variations that clearly refer to the same party—such as “American Party,” “The America Party,” or similar—will also qualify, provided credible reporting confirms the intent and connection to Musk. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party named the “America Party” in the United States between July 5, 2025 and September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets. Minor name variations that clearly refer to the same party—such as “American Party,” “The America Party,” or similar—will also qualify, provided credible reporting confirms the intent and connection to Musk. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party named the “America Party” in the United States between July 5, 2025 and December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets. Minor name variations that clearly refer to the same party—such as “American Party,” “The America Party,” or similar—will also qualify, provided credible reporting confirms the intent and connection to Musk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party named the “America Party” in the United States between July 5, 2025 and July 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.

Minor name variations that clearly refer to the same party—such as “American Party,” “The America Party,” or similar—will also qualify, provided credible reporting confirms the intent and connection to Musk.


Объем
$1,143,371
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2025, 1:01 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party named the “America Party” in the United States between July 5, 2025 and July 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets. Minor name variations that clearly refer to the same party—such as “American Party,” “The America Party,” or similar—will also qualify, provided credible reporting confirms the intent and connection to Musk.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party named the “America Party” in the United States between July 5, 2025 and July 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets. Minor name variations that clearly refer to the same party—such as “American Party,” “The America Party,” or similar—will also qualify, provided credible reporting confirms the intent and connection to Musk. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party named the “America Party” in the United States between July 5, 2025 and August 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets. Minor name variations that clearly refer to the same party—such as “American Party,” “The America Party,” or similar—will also qualify, provided credible reporting confirms the intent and connection to Musk. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party named the “America Party” in the United States between July 5, 2025 and September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets. Minor name variations that clearly refer to the same party—such as “American Party,” “The America Party,” or similar—will also qualify, provided credible reporting confirms the intent and connection to Musk. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party named the “America Party” in the United States between July 5, 2025 and December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets. Minor name variations that clearly refer to the same party—such as “American Party,” “The America Party,” or similar—will also qualify, provided credible reporting confirms the intent and connection to Musk.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Зарегистрирует ли Элон партию Америки к...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 июля» с 0%, за ним следует «31 августа» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 0¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 0%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

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Чтобы торговать на «Зарегистрирует ли Элон партию Америки к...?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Зарегистрирует ли Элон партию Америки к...?» — «31 июля» всего с 0%, а «31 августа» близко позади с 0%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Зарегистрирует ли Элон партию Америки к...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.