President Trump's anticipated endorsement in the Texas GOP Senate primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and challenger Ken Paxton dominates trader sentiment, following his March 4 statement signaling an imminent decision and urging one to drop out. Despite the March 17 filing deadline passing without action—leaving both on the April ballot—Paxton has secured grassroots backing amid reports of Trump frustration with Cornyn's establishment ties, while Cornyn touts his 99% voting alignment with Trump. Trump's history of decisive primary endorsements, often swaying outcomes via base mobilization, heightens stakes ahead of the runoff and general election. Parallel uncertainties in races like California governor (Steve Hilton) and Maine Senate (Susan Collins) contribute to closely contested implied probabilities across outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$110,220 Объем

Кен Пакстон - сенатор от Техаса
74%

Стив Хилтон - губернатор Калифорнии
67%

Сьюзен Коллинз - Сенат штата Мэн
63%

Джон Корнин - сенатор от Техаса
34%

Энди Барр - сенатор от Кентукки
34%
$110,220 Объем

Кен Пакстон - сенатор от Техаса
74%

Стив Хилтон - губернатор Калифорнии
67%

Сьюзен Коллинз - Сенат штата Мэн
63%

Джон Корнин - сенатор от Техаса
34%

Энди Барр - сенатор от Кентукки
34%
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's anticipated endorsement in the Texas GOP Senate primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and challenger Ken Paxton dominates trader sentiment, following his March 4 statement signaling an imminent decision and urging one to drop out. Despite the March 17 filing deadline passing without action—leaving both on the April ballot—Paxton has secured grassroots backing amid reports of Trump frustration with Cornyn's establishment ties, while Cornyn touts his 99% voting alignment with Trump. Trump's history of decisive primary endorsements, often swaying outcomes via base mobilization, heightens stakes ahead of the runoff and general election. Parallel uncertainties in races like California governor (Steve Hilton) and Maine Senate (Susan Collins) contribute to closely contested implied probabilities across outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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