Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism toward new diplomatic recognitions of Israel by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled normalization talks amid the protracted Israel-Hamas war, Hezbollah border clashes, and U.S.-Iran tensions. Bolivia's renewal of ties on December 10, 2025, marked the sole development since the market period began November 20, but major holdouts like Saudi Arabia condition agreements on Palestinian statehood progress, with no breakthroughs in recent weeks. President Trump's March 27 statement tied Saudi-Israel normalization to Iran conflict resolution, yet domestic opposition in Muslim-majority nations such as Indonesia, Syria, and Tunisia persists as a barrier. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic pushes or Abraham Accords expansions could shift dynamics before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКакие страны признают Израиль к 30 июня?
Какие страны признают Израиль к 30 июня?
$130,130 Объем

Северная Корея
1%

Куба
3%

Саудовская Аравия
10%

Ливан
3%

Афганистан
2%

Ирак
5%

Пакистан
3%

Сирия
7%

Венесуэла
7%

Тунис
6%

Кувейт
6%

Катар
4%

Индонезия
3%

Малайзия
2%

Бангладеш
5%
$130,130 Объем

Северная Корея
1%

Куба
3%

Саудовская Аравия
10%

Ливан
3%

Афганистан
2%

Ирак
5%

Пакистан
3%

Сирия
7%

Венесуэла
7%

Тунис
6%

Кувейт
6%

Катар
4%

Индонезия
3%

Малайзия
2%

Бангладеш
5%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism toward new diplomatic recognitions of Israel by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled normalization talks amid the protracted Israel-Hamas war, Hezbollah border clashes, and U.S.-Iran tensions. Bolivia's renewal of ties on December 10, 2025, marked the sole development since the market period began November 20, but major holdouts like Saudi Arabia condition agreements on Palestinian statehood progress, with no breakthroughs in recent weeks. President Trump's March 27 statement tied Saudi-Israel normalization to Iran conflict resolution, yet domestic opposition in Muslim-majority nations such as Indonesia, Syria, and Tunisia persists as a barrier. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic pushes or Abraham Accords expansions could shift dynamics before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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