Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет лучшую модель Coding AI в конце апреля?
Anthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
Baidu <1%
$266,154 Объем
$266,154 Объем

xAI
Нет

ByteDance
Нет

Baidu
Нет

OpenAI
Нет

Alibaba
Нет

Moonshot
Нет

DeepSeek
Нет

Mistral
Нет

Meituan
Нет

Anthropic
Да

Нет

Amazon
Нет

Z.ai
Нет
Anthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
Baidu <1%
$266,154 Объем
$266,154 Объем

xAI
Нет

ByteDance
Нет

Baidu
Нет

OpenAI
Нет

Alibaba
Нет

Moonshot
Нет

DeepSeek
Нет

Mistral
Нет

Meituan
Нет

Anthropic
Да

Нет

Amazon
Нет

Z.ai
Нет
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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