Moonshot AI's April 20 release of Kimi K2.6—an open-weight large language model delivering state-of-the-art coding benchmarks like 58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro, 83.2% on BrowseComp, and agent swarms scaling to 300 parallel sub-agents over 4,000 steps—highlights the Beijing-based lab's rapid iteration, building trader optimism for the next flagship Kimi K3 despite no official announcement to date. Reports peg K3 for a Q3 debut with 2.5-4 trillion parameters and potential 1 million-token context, fueled by yesterday's $2 billion funding round at $20 billion valuation to expand compute amid Chinese AI rivalries from DeepSeek V4 and Qwen. Key watchpoints include Moonshot previews or API teasers before late-June resolution horizons, as public accessibility via open beta remains the trigger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKimi K3 released by…?
Kimi K3 released by…?
$38,060 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
June 30
22%
31 мая
18%
$38,060 Объем
June 30
$3,044 Объем
22%
31 мая
$1,614 Объем
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's April 20 release of Kimi K2.6—an open-weight large language model delivering state-of-the-art coding benchmarks like 58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro, 83.2% on BrowseComp, and agent swarms scaling to 300 parallel sub-agents over 4,000 steps—highlights the Beijing-based lab's rapid iteration, building trader optimism for the next flagship Kimi K3 despite no official announcement to date. Reports peg K3 for a Q3 debut with 2.5-4 trillion parameters and potential 1 million-token context, fueled by yesterday's $2 billion funding round at $20 billion valuation to expand compute amid Chinese AI rivalries from DeepSeek V4 and Qwen. Key watchpoints include Moonshot previews or API teasers before late-June resolution horizons, as public accessibility via open beta remains the trigger.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Объем
$38,060Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's April 20 release of Kimi K2.6—an open-weight large language model delivering state-of-the-art coding benchmarks like 58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro, 83.2% on BrowseComp, and agent swarms scaling to 300 parallel sub-agents over 4,000 steps—highlights the Beijing-based lab's rapid iteration, building trader optimism for the next flagship Kimi K3 despite no official announcement to date. Reports peg K3 for a Q3 debut with 2.5-4 trillion parameters and potential 1 million-token context, fueled by yesterday's $2 billion funding round at $20 billion valuation to expand compute amid Chinese AI rivalries from DeepSeek V4 and Qwen. Key watchpoints include Moonshot previews or API teasers before late-June resolution horizons, as public accessibility via open beta remains the trigger.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$38,060Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI's April 20 release of Kimi K2.6—an open-weight large language model delivering state-of-the-art coding benchmarks like 58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro, 83.2% on BrowseComp, and agent swarms scaling to 300 parallel sub-agents over 4,000 steps—highlights the Beijing-based lab's rapid iteration, building trader optimism for the next flagship Kimi K3 despite no official announcement to date. Reports peg K3 for a Q3 debut with 2.5-4 trillion parameters and potential 1 million-token context, fueled by yesterday's $2 billion funding round at $20 billion valuation to expand compute amid Chinese AI rivalries from DeepSeek V4 and Qwen. Key watchpoints include Moonshot previews or API teasers before late-June resolution horizons, as public accessibility via open beta remains the trigger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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