President Trump's Truth Social posts centering on escalating US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz have driven trader consensus this week, with March 23 announcements of a 48-hour ultimatum demanding Iran reopen the strait or face strikes on its energy infrastructure, followed by pauses in attacks amid claimed diplomatic progress. Iran has denied direct talks, heightening uncertainty as Trump highlighted US oil production advantages, allied warship deployments, and mine removal demands. His prolific daily posting pattern—often dozens on foreign policy, rivals, and domestic critiques—shapes low-probability pricing across specific phrases, while impeachment and bomb-related terms see slightly elevated trader interest amid potential congressional backlash to escalation risks. Resolution hinges on verbatim matches by March 29 end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$102,982 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
Nasty
<1%
Boeing
<1%
Ballroom
<1%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
2%
Panican
3%
Free Tina Peters
<1%
Epic Fury
<1%
Bully of the Middle East
4%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
4%
Excursion
1%
Evil Empire
1%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
3%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
<1%
Democrat Shutdown
5%
Bomb / Bomber
3%
Impeach / Impeachment
4%
Spain
<1%
$102,982 Объем
Nasty
$9,476 Объем
<1%
Boeing
$10,626 Объем
<1%
Ballroom
$5,933 Объем
<1%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
$6,918 Объем
2%
Panican
$8,754 Объем
3%
Free Tina Peters
$4,350 Объем
<1%
Epic Fury
$4,532 Объем
<1%
Bully of the Middle East
$4,365 Объем
4%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
$1,606 Объем
4%
Excursion
$3,423 Объем
1%
Evil Empire
$1,355 Объем
1%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
$3,498 Объем
3%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$6,396 Объем
<1%
Democrat Shutdown
$8,163 Объем
5%
Bomb / Bomber
$5,284 Объем
3%
Impeach / Impeachment
$6,070 Объем
4%
Spain
$12,232 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social posts centering on escalating US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz have driven trader consensus this week, with March 23 announcements of a 48-hour ultimatum demanding Iran reopen the strait or face strikes on its energy infrastructure, followed by pauses in attacks amid claimed diplomatic progress. Iran has denied direct talks, heightening uncertainty as Trump highlighted US oil production advantages, allied warship deployments, and mine removal demands. His prolific daily posting pattern—often dozens on foreign policy, rivals, and domestic critiques—shapes low-probability pricing across specific phrases, while impeachment and bomb-related terms see slightly elevated trader interest amid potential congressional backlash to escalation risks. Resolution hinges on verbatim matches by March 29 end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Объем
$102,982Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social posts centering on escalating US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz have driven trader consensus this week, with March 23 announcements of a 48-hour ultimatum demanding Iran reopen the strait or face strikes on its energy infrastructure, followed by pauses in attacks amid claimed diplomatic progress. Iran has denied direct talks, heightening uncertainty as Trump highlighted US oil production advantages, allied warship deployments, and mine removal demands. His prolific daily posting pattern—often dozens on foreign policy, rivals, and domestic critiques—shapes low-probability pricing across specific phrases, while impeachment and bomb-related terms see slightly elevated trader interest amid potential congressional backlash to escalation risks. Resolution hinges on verbatim matches by March 29 end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Объем
$102,982Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's Truth Social posts centering on escalating US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz have driven trader consensus this week, with March 23 announcements of a 48-hour ultimatum demanding Iran reopen the strait or face strikes on its energy infrastructure, followed by pauses in attacks amid claimed diplomatic progress. Iran has denied direct talks, heightening uncertainty as Trump highlighted US oil production advantages, allied warship deployments, and mine removal demands. His prolific daily posting pattern—often dozens on foreign policy, rivals, and domestic critiques—shapes low-probability pricing across specific phrases, while impeachment and bomb-related terms see slightly elevated trader interest amid potential congressional backlash to escalation risks. Resolution hinges on verbatim matches by March 29 end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы