US military forces conducted a targeted raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro amid escalating sanctions and regional tensions, marking the most recent direct entry that shapes trader focus on any "again" scenario. No further incursions have occurred in the past 30 days; instead, diplomatic normalization advanced with the US reopening its Caracas embassy on March 30 and lifting sanctions on interim leader Delcy Rodríguez on April 1, reflecting a stabilizing transition under reported US military oversight involving Secretary Pete Hegseth. Ongoing coalition pressures and security threats from Chavismo holdouts could prompt escalation, but warming bilateral ties on oil and migration lower immediate intervention risks ahead of potential elections or handover deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,257,530 Объем
31 янв. 2026 г.
31 марта
1%
30 июня
13%
$1,257,530 Объем
31 марта
$3,502 Объем
1%
30 июня
$173,938 Объем
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro amid escalating sanctions and regional tensions, marking the most recent direct entry that shapes trader focus on any "again" scenario. No further incursions have occurred in the past 30 days; instead, diplomatic normalization advanced with the US reopening its Caracas embassy on March 30 and lifting sanctions on interim leader Delcy Rodríguez on April 1, reflecting a stabilizing transition under reported US military oversight involving Secretary Pete Hegseth. Ongoing coalition pressures and security threats from Chavismo holdouts could prompt escalation, but warming bilateral ties on oil and migration lower immediate intervention risks ahead of potential elections or handover deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ET
Объем
$1,257,530Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro amid escalating sanctions and regional tensions, marking the most recent direct entry that shapes trader focus on any "again" scenario. No further incursions have occurred in the past 30 days; instead, diplomatic normalization advanced with the US reopening its Caracas embassy on March 30 and lifting sanctions on interim leader Delcy Rodríguez on April 1, reflecting a stabilizing transition under reported US military oversight involving Secretary Pete Hegseth. Ongoing coalition pressures and security threats from Chavismo holdouts could prompt escalation, but warming bilateral ties on oil and migration lower immediate intervention risks ahead of potential elections or handover deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,257,530Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
US military forces conducted a targeted raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro amid escalating sanctions and regional tensions, marking the most recent direct entry that shapes trader focus on any "again" scenario. No further incursions have occurred in the past 30 days; instead, diplomatic normalization advanced with the US reopening its Caracas embassy on March 30 and lifting sanctions on interim leader Delcy Rodríguez on April 1, reflecting a stabilizing transition under reported US military oversight involving Secretary Pete Hegseth. Ongoing coalition pressures and security threats from Chavismo holdouts could prompt escalation, but warming bilateral ties on oil and migration lower immediate intervention risks ahead of potential elections or handover deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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