Persistent military stalemate and irreconcilable demands in the Russia-Ukraine war drive the 80% "No" odds on a peace referendum passing before 2027, as traders assess negligible negotiation progress since Istanbul talks stalled in 2022. Kyiv demands full Russian withdrawal from all territories including Crimea and Donbas, plus NATO membership, while Moscow insists on annexation recognition, demilitarization, and neutrality. Recent catalysts include Ukraine's Kursk incursion yielding limited gains amid Russian counteroffensives, Zelenskyy's UN speeches rejecting concessions, and Putin's unchanged red lines despite North Korean troop deployments. Western aid persists but faces fatigue, with no scheduled talks or diplomatic breakthroughs to shift trader consensus toward a referendum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРеферендум о мире в Украине прошел до 2027 года?
Референдум о мире в Украине прошел до 2027 года?
Да
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Да
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Объем
$8,904Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,904Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent military stalemate and irreconcilable demands in the Russia-Ukraine war drive the 80% "No" odds on a peace referendum passing before 2027, as traders assess negligible negotiation progress since Istanbul talks stalled in 2022. Kyiv demands full Russian withdrawal from all territories including Crimea and Donbas, plus NATO membership, while Moscow insists on annexation recognition, demilitarization, and neutrality. Recent catalysts include Ukraine's Kursk incursion yielding limited gains amid Russian counteroffensives, Zelenskyy's UN speeches rejecting concessions, and Putin's unchanged red lines despite North Korean troop deployments. Western aid persists but faces fatigue, with no scheduled talks or diplomatic breakthroughs to shift trader consensus toward a referendum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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