Amid escalating drone warfare in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukrainian forces have intensified long-range strikes deep into Russian territory, including repeated drone incursions over Moscow in mid-March, where Russian air defenses intercepted over 250 UAVs across two days on March 15-16 and 35 more on March 17, with a drone downed en route to the capital as recently as March 27. These attempts coincide with Russia's spring offensive launch, featuring massive barrages like nearly 1,000 drones and missiles on Ukraine March 23-24, prompting Ukrainian retaliation against Russian oil refineries and infrastructure. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Ukraine achieves a confirmed hit on Moscow proper before market resolution, amid robust Russian defenses and potential for further escalation from ground advances or diplomatic shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$136,853 Объем
Apr 15, 2026
31 марта
3%
15 апреля
9%
30 апреля
18%
$136,853 Объем
31 марта
$20,686 Объем
3%
15 апреля
$96 Объем
9%
30 апреля
$0 Объем
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid escalating drone warfare in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukrainian forces have intensified long-range strikes deep into Russian territory, including repeated drone incursions over Moscow in mid-March, where Russian air defenses intercepted over 250 UAVs across two days on March 15-16 and 35 more on March 17, with a drone downed en route to the capital as recently as March 27. These attempts coincide with Russia's spring offensive launch, featuring massive barrages like nearly 1,000 drones and missiles on Ukraine March 23-24, prompting Ukrainian retaliation against Russian oil refineries and infrastructure. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Ukraine achieves a confirmed hit on Moscow proper before market resolution, amid robust Russian defenses and potential for further escalation from ground advances or diplomatic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Объем
$136,853Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid escalating drone warfare in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukrainian forces have intensified long-range strikes deep into Russian territory, including repeated drone incursions over Moscow in mid-March, where Russian air defenses intercepted over 250 UAVs across two days on March 15-16 and 35 more on March 17, with a drone downed en route to the capital as recently as March 27. These attempts coincide with Russia's spring offensive launch, featuring massive barrages like nearly 1,000 drones and missiles on Ukraine March 23-24, prompting Ukrainian retaliation against Russian oil refineries and infrastructure. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Ukraine achieves a confirmed hit on Moscow proper before market resolution, amid robust Russian defenses and potential for further escalation from ground advances or diplomatic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$136,853Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating drone warfare in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukrainian forces have intensified long-range strikes deep into Russian territory, including repeated drone incursions over Moscow in mid-March, where Russian air defenses intercepted over 250 UAVs across two days on March 15-16 and 35 more on March 17, with a drone downed en route to the capital as recently as March 27. These attempts coincide with Russia's spring offensive launch, featuring massive barrages like nearly 1,000 drones and missiles on Ukraine March 23-24, prompting Ukrainian retaliation against Russian oil refineries and infrastructure. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Ukraine achieves a confirmed hit on Moscow proper before market resolution, amid robust Russian defenses and potential for further escalation from ground advances or diplomatic shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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