Trader consensus reflects near-certain confidence that President Trump will remain in office through April 30, driven by Republican majorities in Congress that preclude Senate conviction on any impeachment articles, such as H.Res.939 introduced earlier this session but stalled without floor advancement. No invocation of the 25th Amendment, resignation signals, or verified health issues have emerged, reinforced by Trump's recent national addresses on the U.S.-Israel military operations against Iran, including April 1 claims of the conflict wrapping up soon amid ongoing escalations. With just weeks remaining, realistic shifts would require a sudden health emergency, abrupt resignation, or unprecedented legal ruling to trigger removal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$2,170,489 Объем
$2,170,489 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
Да
$2,170,489 Объем
$2,170,489 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certain confidence that President Trump will remain in office through April 30, driven by Republican majorities in Congress that preclude Senate conviction on any impeachment articles, such as H.Res.939 introduced earlier this session but stalled without floor advancement. No invocation of the 25th Amendment, resignation signals, or verified health issues have emerged, reinforced by Trump's recent national addresses on the U.S.-Israel military operations against Iran, including April 1 claims of the conflict wrapping up soon amid ongoing escalations. With just weeks remaining, realistic shifts would require a sudden health emergency, abrupt resignation, or unprecedented legal ruling to trigger removal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Объем
$2,170,489Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certain confidence that President Trump will remain in office through April 30, driven by Republican majorities in Congress that preclude Senate conviction on any impeachment articles, such as H.Res.939 introduced earlier this session but stalled without floor advancement. No invocation of the 25th Amendment, resignation signals, or verified health issues have emerged, reinforced by Trump's recent national addresses on the U.S.-Israel military operations against Iran, including April 1 claims of the conflict wrapping up soon amid ongoing escalations. With just weeks remaining, realistic shifts would require a sudden health emergency, abrupt resignation, or unprecedented legal ruling to trigger removal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$2,171,589Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certain confidence that President Trump will remain in office through April 30, driven by Republican majorities in Congress that preclude Senate conviction on any impeachment articles, such as H.Res.939 introduced earlier this session but stalled without floor advancement. No invocation of the 25th Amendment, resignation signals, or verified health issues have emerged, reinforced by Trump's recent national addresses on the U.S.-Israel military operations against Iran, including April 1 claims of the conflict wrapping up soon amid ongoing escalations. With just weeks remaining, realistic shifts would require a sudden health emergency, abrupt resignation, or unprecedented legal ruling to trigger removal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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