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Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by August 31?

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Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by August 31?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$24,491 Объем

>99% chance
Polymarket

$24,491 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump deploys any active duty National Guard troops into Washington, D.C., by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only the actual deployment of active duty National Guard personnel into Washington, D.C., will qualify; an announcement of a future deployment alone will not count.

Both the active deployment of the D.C. National Guard and the deployment of out-of-state National Guard units into Washington, D.C., by President Trump will qualify, regardless of whether the troops are engaged in public-facing operations within the market's time frame.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$24,491
Дата окончания
Aug 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2025, 11:27 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump deploys any active duty National Guard troops into Washington, D.C., by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only the actual deployment of active duty National Guard personnel into Washington, D.C., will qualify; an announcement of a future deployment alone will not count. Both the active deployment of the D.C. National Guard and the deployment of out-of-state National Guard units into Washington, D.C., by President Trump will qualify, regardless of whether the troops are engaged in public-facing operations within the market's time frame. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump deploys any active duty National Guard troops into Washington, D.C., by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only the actual deployment of active duty National Guard personnel into Washington, D.C., will qualify; an announcement of a future deployment alone will not count.

Both the active deployment of the D.C. National Guard and the deployment of out-of-state National Guard units into Washington, D.C., by President Trump will qualify, regardless of whether the troops are engaged in public-facing operations within the market's time frame.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$24,491
Дата окончания
Aug 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2025, 11:27 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump deploys any active duty National Guard troops into Washington, D.C., by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only the actual deployment of active duty National Guard personnel into Washington, D.C., will qualify; an announcement of a future deployment alone will not count. Both the active deployment of the D.C. National Guard and the deployment of out-of-state National Guard units into Washington, D.C., by President Trump will qualify, regardless of whether the troops are engaged in public-facing operations within the market's time frame. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by August 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by August 31?" has generated $24.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by August 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by August 31?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by August 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.