President Trump's Truth Social post earlier today confirming a two-week extension of the Strait of Hormuz deadline—conditional on Iran reopening the waterway amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions—has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for an announcement. This marks the fourth such delay since the original March 23 ultimatum, reflecting diplomatic maneuvering including Pakistan's recent appeal for a ceasefire pause tied to Hormuz access. Escalation threats, including potential strikes on Iranian power plants, underscore the high stakes, yet historical patterns of extensions signal restraint. While improbable, a last-minute reversal or failure to formalize by midnight could shift resolution, though markets price minimal risk given the public statement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$987,122 Объем
$987,122 Объем
7 апр. 2026 г.
Да
$987,122 Объем
$987,122 Объем
7 апр. 2026 г.
Donald Trump announced a deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz of Tuesday, April 7, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/06/world/middleeast/trump-threat-strait-peace.html).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that this deadline has been extended or will not be enforced by Tuesday April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly state that the deadline has been extended or will not be enforced, including by providing a new deadline or through statements such as “the deadline has been moved back.” Broader statements, such as “we made good progress with Iran,” will qualify only if they are clearly and explicitly made in the context of an announcement that the deadline is being extended or not being enforced.
If no qualifying announcement has been made by Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether the deadline is enforced.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, including on his official social media accounts. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify a qualifying announcement.
President Trump's Truth Social post earlier today confirming a two-week extension of the Strait of Hormuz deadline—conditional on Iran reopening the waterway amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions—has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for an announcement. This marks the fourth such delay since the original March 23 ultimatum, reflecting diplomatic maneuvering including Pakistan's recent appeal for a ceasefire pause tied to Hormuz access. Escalation threats, including potential strikes on Iranian power plants, underscore the high stakes, yet historical patterns of extensions signal restraint. While improbable, a last-minute reversal or failure to formalize by midnight could shift resolution, though markets price minimal risk given the public statement.
Donald Trump announced a deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz of Tuesday, April 7, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/06/world/middleeast/trump-threat-strait-peace.html).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that this deadline has been extended or will not be enforced by Tuesday April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly state that the deadline has been extended or will not be enforced, including by providing a new deadline or through statements such as “the deadline has been moved back.” Broader statements, such as “we made good progress with Iran,” will qualify only if they are clearly and explicitly made in the context of an announcement that the deadline is being extended or not being enforced.
If no qualifying announcement has been made by Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether the deadline is enforced.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, including on his official social media accounts. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify a qualifying announcement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that this deadline has been extended or will not be enforced by Tuesday April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly state that the deadline has been extended or will not be enforced, including by providing a new deadline or through statements such as “the deadline has been moved back.” Broader statements, such as “we made good progress with Iran,” will qualify only if they are clearly and explicitly made in the context of an announcement that the deadline is being extended or not being enforced.
If no qualifying announcement has been made by Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether the deadline is enforced.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, including on his official social media accounts. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify a qualifying announcement.
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Объем
$987,122Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Donald Trump announced a deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz of Tuesday, April 7, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/06/world/middleeast/trump-threat-strait-peace.html).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that this deadline has been extended or will not be enforced by Tuesday April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly state that the deadline has been extended or will not be enforced, including by providing a new deadline or through statements such as “the deadline has been moved back.” Broader statements, such as “we made good progress with Iran,” will qualify only if they are clearly and explicitly made in the context of an announcement that the deadline is being extended or not being enforced.
If no qualifying announcement has been made by Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether the deadline is enforced.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, including on his official social media accounts. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify a qualifying announcement.
President Trump's Truth Social post earlier today confirming a two-week extension of the Strait of Hormuz deadline—conditional on Iran reopening the waterway amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions—has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for an announcement. This marks the fourth such delay since the original March 23 ultimatum, reflecting diplomatic maneuvering including Pakistan's recent appeal for a ceasefire pause tied to Hormuz access. Escalation threats, including potential strikes on Iranian power plants, underscore the high stakes, yet historical patterns of extensions signal restraint. While improbable, a last-minute reversal or failure to formalize by midnight could shift resolution, though markets price minimal risk given the public statement.
Donald Trump announced a deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz of Tuesday, April 7, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/06/world/middleeast/trump-threat-strait-peace.html).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that this deadline has been extended or will not be enforced by Tuesday April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly state that the deadline has been extended or will not be enforced, including by providing a new deadline or through statements such as “the deadline has been moved back.” Broader statements, such as “we made good progress with Iran,” will qualify only if they are clearly and explicitly made in the context of an announcement that the deadline is being extended or not being enforced.
If no qualifying announcement has been made by Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether the deadline is enforced.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, including on his official social media accounts. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify a qualifying announcement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that this deadline has been extended or will not be enforced by Tuesday April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly state that the deadline has been extended or will not be enforced, including by providing a new deadline or through statements such as “the deadline has been moved back.” Broader statements, such as “we made good progress with Iran,” will qualify only if they are clearly and explicitly made in the context of an announcement that the deadline is being extended or not being enforced.
If no qualifying announcement has been made by Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether the deadline is enforced.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, including on his official social media accounts. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify a qualifying announcement.
Объем
$987,122Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
President Trump's Truth Social post earlier today confirming a two-week extension of the Strait of Hormuz deadline—conditional on Iran reopening the waterway amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions—has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for an announcement. This marks the fourth such delay since the original March 23 ultimatum, reflecting diplomatic maneuvering including Pakistan's recent appeal for a ceasefire pause tied to Hormuz access. Escalation threats, including potential strikes on Iranian power plants, underscore the high stakes, yet historical patterns of extensions signal restraint. While improbable, a last-minute reversal or failure to formalize by midnight could shift resolution, though markets price minimal risk given the public statement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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