U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn dominates trader consensus for the Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary at 88.5% implied probability, driven by her statewide name recognition, strong fundraising from past Senate campaigns, and alignment with conservative priorities in a deep-red state. Congressman John Rose holds 5% on incumbency in his district and committee roles, while State Representative Monty Fritts garners 4.5% from grassroots Trump-aligned support. Recent polling aggregates show Blackburn leading hypothetical matchups by wide margins post-Gov. Bill Lee's term limit announcement, with no formal entries yet shifting dynamics ahead of the August 2026 primary; traders price low upset risk based on historical GOP primary patterns favoring incumbents.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоМарша Блэкберн 89%
Джон Роуз 5%
Монти Фриттс 5%
Марша Блэкберн
89%
Джон Роуз
5%
Монти Фриттс
5%
Марша Блэкберн 89%
Джон Роуз 5%
Монти Фриттс 5%
Марша Блэкберн
89%
Джон Роуз
5%
Монти Фриттс
5%
If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 11, 2025, 10:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn dominates trader consensus for the Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary at 88.5% implied probability, driven by her statewide name recognition, strong fundraising from past Senate campaigns, and alignment with conservative priorities in a deep-red state. Congressman John Rose holds 5% on incumbency in his district and committee roles, while State Representative Monty Fritts garners 4.5% from grassroots Trump-aligned support. Recent polling aggregates show Blackburn leading hypothetical matchups by wide margins post-Gov. Bill Lee's term limit announcement, with no formal entries yet shifting dynamics ahead of the August 2026 primary; traders price low upset risk based on historical GOP primary patterns favoring incumbents.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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