Enrique Leaño holds a commanding 50.2% implied probability on Polymarket as the frontrunner in Bolivia's Sucre mayoral race, driven by consistent polling leads from firms like Ciesmori and Equipos Consultores showing him at 45-52% support amid strong backing from the ruling MAS party in Chuquisaca department. Trailing candidates like Hebert Marcelo Terrazas (12.6%) and Cristian Sanabria (12.0%) reflect fragmented opposition votes, with Terrazas gaining slight traction from recent civic committee endorsements and Sanabria from evangelical networks. A key recent development—a October poll confirming Leaño's double-digit margin—has solidified trader consensus, though upcoming debates and potential MAS internal disputes could shift dynamics ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов мэра Сукре (Боливия)
Победитель выборов мэра Сукре (Боливия)
Энрике Леаньо 48.9%
Кристиан Санабрия 6%
Хорасио Поппе 3.5%
Эрик Марсело Педразас Лопес 3.3%
$24,921 Объем
$24,921 Объем

Энрике Леаньо
49%

Кристиан Санабрия
12%

Хорасио Поппе
4%

Эрик Марсело Педразас Лопес
3%

Хуан Антонио Хесус
11%

Ричард Москосо
2%

Пабло Арисага
11%

Франц Тата Гарсия
1%

Сесилия Калани
1%

Фатима Тардио
1%

Вилбер Чокамани
11%

Эбер Марсело Терразас
10%
Энрике Леаньо 48.9%
Кристиан Санабрия 6%
Хорасио Поппе 3.5%
Эрик Марсело Педразас Лопес 3.3%
$24,921 Объем
$24,921 Объем

Энрике Леаньо
49%

Кристиан Санабрия
12%

Хорасио Поппе
4%

Эрик Марсело Педразас Лопес
3%

Хуан Антонио Хесус
11%

Ричард Москосо
2%

Пабло Арисага
11%

Франц Тата Гарсия
1%

Сесилия Калани
1%

Фатима Тардио
1%

Вилбер Чокамани
11%

Эбер Марсело Терразас
10%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Enrique Leaño holds a commanding 50.2% implied probability on Polymarket as the frontrunner in Bolivia's Sucre mayoral race, driven by consistent polling leads from firms like Ciesmori and Equipos Consultores showing him at 45-52% support amid strong backing from the ruling MAS party in Chuquisaca department. Trailing candidates like Hebert Marcelo Terrazas (12.6%) and Cristian Sanabria (12.0%) reflect fragmented opposition votes, with Terrazas gaining slight traction from recent civic committee endorsements and Sanabria from evangelical networks. A key recent development—a October poll confirming Leaño's double-digit margin—has solidified trader consensus, though upcoming debates and potential MAS internal disputes could shift dynamics ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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