In the crowded Republican primary for South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District seat—vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—trader consensus gives Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath a slim 43% edge over state Rep. Mark Smith at 39%, reflecting a fragmented field of over 10 candidates ahead of the June 9 primary and potential June 23 runoff. Pelbath's high-profile role as the last U.S. pilot out of Kabul bolsters his conservative credentials, while Smith's legislative experience and February Beaufort County GOP straw poll win sustain local momentum. Recent filings, including Pelbath's on March 18 and Sam McCown's last week, intensify competition with the March 30 deadline looming; endorsements from Trump allies or fundraising surges could tip the balance in this closely contested race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоАлекс Пелбат 48%
Марк Смит 39%
Сэм МакКоун 12%
Джек Эллисон 6%
Алекс Пелбат
48%
Марк Смит
39%
Сэм МакКоун
12%
Джек Эллисон
6%
Логан Каннингем
2%
Дженни Коста Ханикатт
2%
Джей Байярс
1%
Джастин Майерс
<1%
Дэн Браун
<1%
Алекс Пелбат 48%
Марк Смит 39%
Сэм МакКоун 12%
Джек Эллисон 6%
Алекс Пелбат
48%
Марк Смит
39%
Сэм МакКоун
12%
Джек Эллисон
6%
Логан Каннингем
2%
Дженни Коста Ханикатт
2%
Джей Байярс
1%
Джастин Майерс
<1%
Дэн Браун
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the crowded Republican primary for South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District seat—vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—trader consensus gives Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath a slim 43% edge over state Rep. Mark Smith at 39%, reflecting a fragmented field of over 10 candidates ahead of the June 9 primary and potential June 23 runoff. Pelbath's high-profile role as the last U.S. pilot out of Kabul bolsters his conservative credentials, while Smith's legislative experience and February Beaufort County GOP straw poll win sustain local momentum. Recent filings, including Pelbath's on March 18 and Sam McCown's last week, intensify competition with the March 30 deadline looming; endorsements from Trump allies or fundraising surges could tip the balance in this closely contested race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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