Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 50-54 million range for "Project Hail Mary"'s second weekend box office at a dominant 69.5% implied probability, fueled by its record-shattering $80.6 million domestic opening—the biggest of 2026 and Amazon MGM's best debut—coupled with stellar critical reception (95% Rotten Tomatoes) and exceptional audience scores (97% verified, A CinemaScore). Ryan Gosling's star power, IMAX and premium large format dominance (over 30% of opening sales), and spreading word-of-mouth have sustained midweek momentum past $100 million, despite new competition from "They Will Kill You" (tracking under $10 million). Spring break boosts and weak challengers position it for a ~38% drop, outperforming comparables like "Dune: Part Two," though final Sunday tallies could shift late walkups.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКасса 2-го уикенда «Project Hail Mary»
Касса 2-го уикенда «Project Hail Mary»
50–54 млн 74%
46-50 млн 13%
>54 млн 10.4%
<42 млн <1%
$18,824 Объем
$18,824 Объем
Mar 30, 2026
<42 млн
1%
42-46 млн
1%
46-50 млн
13%
50–54 млн
59%
>54 млн
26%
50–54 млн 74%
46-50 млн 13%
>54 млн 10.4%
<42 млн <1%
$18,824 Объем
$18,824 Объем
Mar 30, 2026
<42 млн
$1,422 Объем
1%
42-46 млн
$6,260 Объем
1%
46-50 млн
$6,230 Объем
13%
50–54 млн
$1,744 Объем
59%
>54 млн
$3,168 Объем
26%
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 50-54 million range for "Project Hail Mary"'s second weekend box office at a dominant 69.5% implied probability, fueled by its record-shattering $80.6 million domestic opening—the biggest of 2026 and Amazon MGM's best debut—coupled with stellar critical reception (95% Rotten Tomatoes) and exceptional audience scores (97% verified, A CinemaScore). Ryan Gosling's star power, IMAX and premium large format dominance (over 30% of opening sales), and spreading word-of-mouth have sustained midweek momentum past $100 million, despite new competition from "They Will Kill You" (tracking under $10 million). Spring break boosts and weak challengers position it for a ~38% drop, outperforming comparables like "Dune: Part Two," though final Sunday tallies could shift late walkups.
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Объем
$18,824Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 50-54 million range for "Project Hail Mary"'s second weekend box office at a dominant 69.5% implied probability, fueled by its record-shattering $80.6 million domestic opening—the biggest of 2026 and Amazon MGM's best debut—coupled with stellar critical reception (95% Rotten Tomatoes) and exceptional audience scores (97% verified, A CinemaScore). Ryan Gosling's star power, IMAX and premium large format dominance (over 30% of opening sales), and spreading word-of-mouth have sustained midweek momentum past $100 million, despite new competition from "They Will Kill You" (tracking under $10 million). Spring break boosts and weak challengers position it for a ~38% drop, outperforming comparables like "Dune: Part Two," though final Sunday tallies could shift late walkups.
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$18,824Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 50-54 million range for "Project Hail Mary"'s second weekend box office at a dominant 69.5% implied probability, fueled by its record-shattering $80.6 million domestic opening—the biggest of 2026 and Amazon MGM's best debut—coupled with stellar critical reception (95% Rotten Tomatoes) and exceptional audience scores (97% verified, A CinemaScore). Ryan Gosling's star power, IMAX and premium large format dominance (over 30% of opening sales), and spreading word-of-mouth have sustained midweek momentum past $100 million, despite new competition from "They Will Kill You" (tracking under $10 million). Spring break boosts and weak challengers position it for a ~38% drop, outperforming comparables like "Dune: Part Two," though final Sunday tallies could shift late walkups.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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