Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Kevin Hern (86.5%) as the Republican nominee in Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate primary, driven by his strong fundraising, Trump alignment, and appeal among the GOP base skeptical of incumbent Sen. James Lankford's border security negotiations earlier this year. Lankford, absent from the market amid primary challenge speculation, faces vulnerability from conservative backlash despite his March re-election announcement. Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell (0.9%) and Rep. Stephanie Bice (1.9%) trail with statewide profiles but lack Hern's momentum. No candidates have formally launched campaigns, leaving odds reflective of early positioning and low-volume trading; watch for announcements or early polls to shift probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель первичных выборов в республиканский сенат Оклахомы
Победитель первичных выборов в республиканский сенат Оклахомы
Кевин Херн 87%
Рон Майнхардт 3.0%
Марквейн Маллин 2.5%
Стефани Байс 2.5%
Кевин Херн
87%
Рон Майнхардт
3%
Марквейн Маллин
3%
Стефани Байс
3%
Тэмми Свиренджин
2%
Уэйн Лонни Вашингтон
1%
Мэтт Пиннелл
1%
Джон М. О’Коннор
1%
Донелл Хардер
1%
Ник Хэнкинс
1%
Кевин Херн 87%
Рон Майнхардт 3.0%
Марквейн Маллин 2.5%
Стефани Байс 2.5%
Кевин Херн
87%
Рон Майнхардт
3%
Марквейн Маллин
3%
Стефани Байс
3%
Тэмми Свиренджин
2%
Уэйн Лонни Вашингтон
1%
Мэтт Пиннелл
1%
Джон М. О’Коннор
1%
Донелл Хардер
1%
Ник Хэнкинс
1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Kevin Hern (86.5%) as the Republican nominee in Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate primary, driven by his strong fundraising, Trump alignment, and appeal among the GOP base skeptical of incumbent Sen. James Lankford's border security negotiations earlier this year. Lankford, absent from the market amid primary challenge speculation, faces vulnerability from conservative backlash despite his March re-election announcement. Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell (0.9%) and Rep. Stephanie Bice (1.9%) trail with statewide profiles but lack Hern's momentum. No candidates have formally launched campaigns, leaving odds reflective of early positioning and low-volume trading; watch for announcements or early polls to shift probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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