US and Israeli forces have conducted ongoing airstrikes against Iranian military infrastructure, including nuclear facilities like Arak and Isfahan, ballistic missile sites, and command posts in Tehran, marking one month since initial strikes on February 28 amid heightened regional tensions. Iran is reviewing a US proposal for war termination via mediators while issuing demands for reparations and Strait of Hormuz sovereignty recognition; Tehran released images of recent damage from US-Israeli attacks on March 27. President Trump declared Iran "being decimated" on March 28, as over 300 US troops report wounds and coalition operations persist without ceasefire signals. Diplomatic negotiations and Senate debates on intervention limits represent key upcoming catalysts that could influence de-escalation prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоMilitary action against Iran ends by...?
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$192,365 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
March 29
1%
March 30
2%
March 31
4%
15 апреля
27%
30 апреля
56%
31 мая
76%
30 июня
86%
$192,365 Объем
March 29
$27,535 Объем
1%
March 30
$22,269 Объем
2%
March 31
$77,729 Объем
4%
15 апреля
$3,077 Объем
27%
30 апреля
$1,011 Объем
56%
31 мая
$1,718 Объем
76%
30 июня
$7 Объем
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces have conducted ongoing airstrikes against Iranian military infrastructure, including nuclear facilities like Arak and Isfahan, ballistic missile sites, and command posts in Tehran, marking one month since initial strikes on February 28 amid heightened regional tensions. Iran is reviewing a US proposal for war termination via mediators while issuing demands for reparations and Strait of Hormuz sovereignty recognition; Tehran released images of recent damage from US-Israeli attacks on March 27. President Trump declared Iran "being decimated" on March 28, as over 300 US troops report wounds and coalition operations persist without ceasefire signals. Diplomatic negotiations and Senate debates on intervention limits represent key upcoming catalysts that could influence de-escalation prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Объем
$192,365Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces have conducted ongoing airstrikes against Iranian military infrastructure, including nuclear facilities like Arak and Isfahan, ballistic missile sites, and command posts in Tehran, marking one month since initial strikes on February 28 amid heightened regional tensions. Iran is reviewing a US proposal for war termination via mediators while issuing demands for reparations and Strait of Hormuz sovereignty recognition; Tehran released images of recent damage from US-Israeli attacks on March 27. President Trump declared Iran "being decimated" on March 28, as over 300 US troops report wounds and coalition operations persist without ceasefire signals. Diplomatic negotiations and Senate debates on intervention limits represent key upcoming catalysts that could influence de-escalation prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$192,365Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
US and Israeli forces have conducted ongoing airstrikes against Iranian military infrastructure, including nuclear facilities like Arak and Isfahan, ballistic missile sites, and command posts in Tehran, marking one month since initial strikes on February 28 amid heightened regional tensions. Iran is reviewing a US proposal for war termination via mediators while issuing demands for reparations and Strait of Hormuz sovereignty recognition; Tehran released images of recent damage from US-Israeli attacks on March 27. President Trump declared Iran "being decimated" on March 28, as over 300 US troops report wounds and coalition operations persist without ceasefire signals. Diplomatic negotiations and Senate debates on intervention limits represent key upcoming catalysts that could influence de-escalation prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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