US and Israeli airstrikes against Iranian military, nuclear, and industrial targets, including sites in Tehran and Isfahan, persisted as of March 27, marking nearly a month since the conflict erupted on February 28 with Operation Epic Fury. Iranian ballistic missile and drone barrages continue targeting Israel and US positions in the region, wounding over 300 American troops, while Tehran released images of strike damage and issued demands for war reparations and Strait of Hormuz control. US officials, including the Secretary of State, signal a potential end in weeks—not months—citing severe degradation of Iran's missile, drone, and naval assets per CENTCOM assessments. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, further retaliations, or congressional limits on operations amid unresolved escalation risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоMilitary action against Iran ends by...?
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$191,521 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
March 29
1%
March 30
2%
March 31
5%
15 апреля
27%
30 апреля
56%
31 мая
77%
30 июня
85%
$191,521 Объем
March 29
$27,535 Объем
1%
March 30
$22,269 Объем
2%
March 31
$77,714 Объем
5%
15 апреля
$3,077 Объем
27%
30 апреля
$235 Объем
56%
31 мая
$1,668 Объем
77%
30 июня
$5 Объем
85%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes against Iranian military, nuclear, and industrial targets, including sites in Tehran and Isfahan, persisted as of March 27, marking nearly a month since the conflict erupted on February 28 with Operation Epic Fury. Iranian ballistic missile and drone barrages continue targeting Israel and US positions in the region, wounding over 300 American troops, while Tehran released images of strike damage and issued demands for war reparations and Strait of Hormuz control. US officials, including the Secretary of State, signal a potential end in weeks—not months—citing severe degradation of Iran's missile, drone, and naval assets per CENTCOM assessments. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, further retaliations, or congressional limits on operations amid unresolved escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Объем
$191,521Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes against Iranian military, nuclear, and industrial targets, including sites in Tehran and Isfahan, persisted as of March 27, marking nearly a month since the conflict erupted on February 28 with Operation Epic Fury. Iranian ballistic missile and drone barrages continue targeting Israel and US positions in the region, wounding over 300 American troops, while Tehran released images of strike damage and issued demands for war reparations and Strait of Hormuz control. US officials, including the Secretary of State, signal a potential end in weeks—not months—citing severe degradation of Iran's missile, drone, and naval assets per CENTCOM assessments. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, further retaliations, or congressional limits on operations amid unresolved escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$191,521Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
US and Israeli airstrikes against Iranian military, nuclear, and industrial targets, including sites in Tehran and Isfahan, persisted as of March 27, marking nearly a month since the conflict erupted on February 28 with Operation Epic Fury. Iranian ballistic missile and drone barrages continue targeting Israel and US positions in the region, wounding over 300 American troops, while Tehran released images of strike damage and issued demands for war reparations and Strait of Hormuz control. US officials, including the Secretary of State, signal a potential end in weeks—not months—citing severe degradation of Iran's missile, drone, and naval assets per CENTCOM assessments. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, further retaliations, or congressional limits on operations amid unresolved escalation risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы