Trader consensus in the Massachusetts Republican gubernatorial primary favors Brian Shortsleeve at 44.5%, with Michael Minogue close behind at 37.5% and Mike Kennealy at 16%, reflecting a fragmented field lacking a dominant frontrunner amid early-stage polling. Recent Suffolk University surveys show Shortsleeve's edge from strong fundraising and Quincy-area name recognition, while Minogue leverages business credentials and national GOP ties, and Kennealy draws on Baker administration experience; however, overlapping moderate positioning keeps odds tight. Separation could emerge from upcoming debates, FEC filings revealing donor momentum, or endorsements from figures like Trump, alongside base turnout tests in straw polls. Uncertainty persists with the September 2026 primary distant.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоБрайан Шортслив 47%
Майкл Миног 41%
Майк Кеннили 17%
Брайан Шортслив
47%
Майкл Миног
41%
Майк Кеннили
17%
Брайан Шортслив 47%
Майкл Миног 41%
Майк Кеннили 17%
Брайан Шортслив
47%
Майкл Миног
41%
Майк Кеннили
17%
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Massachusetts Republican gubernatorial primary favors Brian Shortsleeve at 44.5%, with Michael Minogue close behind at 37.5% and Mike Kennealy at 16%, reflecting a fragmented field lacking a dominant frontrunner amid early-stage polling. Recent Suffolk University surveys show Shortsleeve's edge from strong fundraising and Quincy-area name recognition, while Minogue leverages business credentials and national GOP ties, and Kennealy draws on Baker administration experience; however, overlapping moderate positioning keeps odds tight. Separation could emerge from upcoming debates, FEC filings revealing donor momentum, or endorsements from figures like Trump, alongside base turnout tests in straw polls. Uncertainty persists with the September 2026 primary distant.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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