Будет ли у Isar Aerospace успешный орбитальный запуск в 2025 году?
Да
$19,124 Объем
$19,124 Объем
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any launch attempt of the Spectrum rocket, developed by Isar Aerospace, results in a payload reaching a stable Earth orbit by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Reaching stable orbit" is defined as the successful insertion of a payload into a sustained low Earth orbit (LEO) or higher, where the payload completes at least one full revolution around Earth.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any launch attempt of the Spectrum rocket, developed by Isar Aerospace, results in a payload reaching a stable Earth orbit by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Reaching stable orbit" is defined as the successful insertion of a payload into a sustained low Earth orbit (LEO) or higher, where the payload completes at least one full revolution around Earth.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Reaching stable orbit" is defined as the successful insertion of a payload into a sustained low Earth orbit (LEO) or higher, where the payload completes at least one full revolution around Earth.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Дата создания: Apr 7, 2025, 7:54 PM ET
Объем
$19,124Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025Дата создания
Apr 7, 2025, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Будет ли у Isar Aerospace успешный орбитальный запуск в 2025 году?
Да
$19,124 Объем
$19,124 Объем
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any launch attempt of the Spectrum rocket, developed by Isar Aerospace, results in a payload reaching a stable Earth orbit by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Reaching stable orbit" is defined as the successful insertion of a payload into a sustained low Earth orbit (LEO) or higher, where the payload completes at least one full revolution around Earth.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any launch attempt of the Spectrum rocket, developed by Isar Aerospace, results in a payload reaching a stable Earth orbit by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Reaching stable orbit" is defined as the successful insertion of a payload into a sustained low Earth orbit (LEO) or higher, where the payload completes at least one full revolution around Earth.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Reaching stable orbit" is defined as the successful insertion of a payload into a sustained low Earth orbit (LEO) or higher, where the payload completes at least one full revolution around Earth.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$19,124Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025Дата создания
Apr 7, 2025, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Будет ли у Isar Aerospace успешный орбитальный запуск в 2025 году?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Успешный запуск на орбиту Isar Aerospace в 2025 году?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Будет ли у Isar Aerospace успешный орбитальный запуск в 2025 году?" has generated $19.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Будет ли у Isar Aerospace успешный орбитальный запуск в 2025 году?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Будет ли у Isar Aerospace успешный орбитальный запуск в 2025 году?" is "Успешный запуск на орбиту Isar Aerospace в 2025 году?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.
The resolution rules for "Будет ли у Isar Aerospace успешный орбитальный запуск в 2025 году?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions