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Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Market icon

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Ended: Jun 30, 2025

Ended: Jun 30, 2025

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,122,140 Объем

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,122,140 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran and Israel that begins at any time between June 15, and June 30, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between June 15 and June 30, 2025 ET (inclusive), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran or Israel against the other’s soil, airspace, maritime territory, or official Israeli embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran and Israel that begins at any time between June 15, and June 30, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The 14-day period may begin at any time between June 15 and June 30, 2025 ET (inclusive), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.

A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran or Israel against the other’s soil, airspace, maritime territory, or official Israeli embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.

This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.

Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.

Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.
Объем
$1,122,140
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jun 15, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran and Israel that begins at any time between June 15, and June 30, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between June 15 and June 30, 2025 ET (inclusive), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran or Israel against the other’s soil, airspace, maritime territory, or official Israeli embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran and Israel that begins at any time between June 15, and June 30, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between June 15 and June 30, 2025 ET (inclusive), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran or Israel against the other’s soil, airspace, maritime territory, or official Israeli embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran and Israel that begins at any time between June 15, and June 30, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The 14-day period may begin at any time between June 15 and June 30, 2025 ET (inclusive), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.

A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran or Israel against the other’s soil, airspace, maritime territory, or official Israeli embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.

This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.

Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.

Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.
Объем
$1,122,140
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jun 15, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran and Israel that begins at any time between June 15, and June 30, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between June 15 and June 30, 2025 ET (inclusive), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran or Israel against the other’s soil, airspace, maritime territory, or official Israeli embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.1 million с момента запуска рынка Jun 15, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.