Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 1.0-2.0% Eurozone annual GDP growth outcome at 42% implied probability, closely followed by 0-1.0% at 28.5%, reflecting alignment with recent official downward revisions: ECB staff March 2026 projections cut 2026 growth to 0.9% (down 0.3 percentage points from December 2025) due to Middle East war-driven energy price shocks and subdued investment, while IMF's April outlook pegged it at 1.1% amid weakening consumption signals. Q4 2025 GDP rose 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, but April 7 S&P Global PMIs showed growth cooling to a nine-month low on surging input costs. Q1 2026 flash GDP due April 29 remains a key sentiment catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,0–2,0% 45%
<0% 17.2%
2,0-3,0% 17%
4,0-5,0% 16.7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 янв. 2027 г.
<0%
11%
0-1,0%
28%
1,0–2,0%
42%
2,0-3,0%
17%
3,0–4,0%
21%
4,0-5,0%
20%
5,0-6,0%
7%
6,0-7,0%
3%
7,0%+
14%
1,0–2,0% 45%
<0% 17.2%
2,0-3,0% 17%
4,0-5,0% 16.7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 янв. 2027 г.
<0%
$599 Объем
11%
0-1,0%
$469 Объем
28%
1,0–2,0%
$1,271 Объем
42%
2,0-3,0%
$554 Объем
17%
3,0–4,0%
$469 Объем
21%
4,0-5,0%
$1,378 Объем
20%
5,0-6,0%
$547 Объем
7%
6,0-7,0%
$542 Объем
3%
7,0%+
$344 Объем
14%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 1.0-2.0% Eurozone annual GDP growth outcome at 42% implied probability, closely followed by 0-1.0% at 28.5%, reflecting alignment with recent official downward revisions: ECB staff March 2026 projections cut 2026 growth to 0.9% (down 0.3 percentage points from December 2025) due to Middle East war-driven energy price shocks and subdued investment, while IMF's April outlook pegged it at 1.1% amid weakening consumption signals. Q4 2025 GDP rose 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, but April 7 S&P Global PMIs showed growth cooling to a nine-month low on surging input costs. Q1 2026 flash GDP due April 29 remains a key sentiment catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Объем
$6,173Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 1.0-2.0% Eurozone annual GDP growth outcome at 42% implied probability, closely followed by 0-1.0% at 28.5%, reflecting alignment with recent official downward revisions: ECB staff March 2026 projections cut 2026 growth to 0.9% (down 0.3 percentage points from December 2025) due to Middle East war-driven energy price shocks and subdued investment, while IMF's April outlook pegged it at 1.1% amid weakening consumption signals. Q4 2025 GDP rose 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, but April 7 S&P Global PMIs showed growth cooling to a nine-month low on surging input costs. Q1 2026 flash GDP due April 29 remains a key sentiment catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$6,173Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 1.0-2.0% Eurozone annual GDP growth outcome at 42% implied probability, closely followed by 0-1.0% at 28.5%, reflecting alignment with recent official downward revisions: ECB staff March 2026 projections cut 2026 growth to 0.9% (down 0.3 percentage points from December 2025) due to Middle East war-driven energy price shocks and subdued investment, while IMF's April outlook pegged it at 1.1% amid weakening consumption signals. Q4 2025 GDP rose 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, but April 7 S&P Global PMIs showed growth cooling to a nine-month low on surging input costs. Q1 2026 flash GDP due April 29 remains a key sentiment catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы