Trader consensus on the Cochabamba gubernatorial race reflects a fragmented electorate, with Sergio Oliver Rodríguez holding a slim edge at 27.8% implied probability over Mario Enrique Severich's 26.0%, mirroring recent local polls showing margins within 2-3 points amid a crowded field of nine viable candidates. This tightness stems from Cochabamba's divided politics—MAS loyalists split between Oliver and Morales backers, while opposition from Comunidad Ciudadana and Creemos prevents dominance—exacerbated by regional issues like water access and agricultural subsidies. Separation could arise from final endorsements by national figures such as President Arce, last-minute polls, or differential turnout in urban Cochabamba vs. rural valleys ahead of election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Кочабамбы (Боливия)
Победитель выборов губернатора Кочабамбы (Боливия)
Алехандро Мостахо Реда 27.8%
Серхио Оливер Родригес 27.7%
Марио Энрике Севирич 26.0%
Вильфредо Роландо Моралес 17.8%
$11,065 Объем
$11,065 Объем
Алехандро Мостахо Реда
20%
Серхио Оливер Родригес
28%
Марио Энрике Севирич
26%
Вильфредо Роландо Моралес
18%
Эстер Сория Гонсалес
11%
Ремихио Анкалье
8%
Хуан Роберт Флорес
7%
Рут Алина Перельта
6%
Джон Ариэль Риоха
6%
Алехандро Мостахо Реда 27.8%
Серхио Оливер Родригес 27.7%
Марио Энрике Севирич 26.0%
Вильфредо Роландо Моралес 17.8%
$11,065 Объем
$11,065 Объем
Алехандро Мостахо Реда
20%
Серхио Оливер Родригес
28%
Марио Энрике Севирич
26%
Вильфредо Роландо Моралес
18%
Эстер Сория Гонсалес
11%
Ремихио Анкалье
8%
Хуан Роберт Флорес
7%
Рут Алина Перельта
6%
Джон Ариэль Риоха
6%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Открытие рынка: Jan 20, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Cochabamba gubernatorial race reflects a fragmented electorate, with Sergio Oliver Rodríguez holding a slim edge at 27.8% implied probability over Mario Enrique Severich's 26.0%, mirroring recent local polls showing margins within 2-3 points amid a crowded field of nine viable candidates. This tightness stems from Cochabamba's divided politics—MAS loyalists split between Oliver and Morales backers, while opposition from Comunidad Ciudadana and Creemos prevents dominance—exacerbated by regional issues like water access and agricultural subsidies. Separation could arise from final endorsements by national figures such as President Arce, last-minute polls, or differential turnout in urban Cochabamba vs. rural valleys ahead of election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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