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Biden vs Trump: who polls higher 1 week after debate?

Market icon

Biden vs Trump: who polls higher 1 week after debate?

Biden

>99% chance
Polymarket

$19,539 Объем

Biden

>99% chance
Polymarket

$19,539 Объем

This market will resolve to “Biden” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections is higher than Donald Trump's as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump's national polling in the US general elections is higher than Joe Biden's as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024. If Biden and Trump poll equally, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoints for July 4 as soon as datapoints for July 5 become available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoints are available. If no datapoints for July 4 are available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Biden” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections is higher than Donald Trump's as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump's national polling in the US general elections is higher than Joe Biden's as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024. If Biden and Trump poll equally, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoints for July 4 as soon as datapoints for July 5 become available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoints are available. If no datapoints for July 4 are available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$19,539
Дата окончания
Jul 4, 2024
Открытие рынка
Jun 27, 2024, 1:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Biden” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections is higher than Donald Trump's as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump's national polling in the US general elections is higher than Joe Biden's as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024. If Biden and Trump poll equally, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoints for July 4 as soon as datapoints for July 5 become available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoints are available. If no datapoints for July 4 are available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Предложенный исход: Trump

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Trump

This market will resolve to “Biden” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections is higher than Donald Trump's as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump's national polling in the US general elections is higher than Joe Biden's as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024. If Biden and Trump poll equally, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoints for July 4 as soon as datapoints for July 5 become available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoints are available. If no datapoints for July 4 are available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Biden” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections is higher than Donald Trump's as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump's national polling in the US general elections is higher than Joe Biden's as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024. If Biden and Trump poll equally, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoints for July 4 as soon as datapoints for July 5 become available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoints are available. If no datapoints for July 4 are available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$19,539
Дата окончания
Jul 4, 2024
Открытие рынка
Jun 27, 2024, 1:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Biden” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections is higher than Donald Trump's as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump's national polling in the US general elections is higher than Joe Biden's as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024. If Biden and Trump poll equally, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoints for July 4 as soon as datapoints for July 5 become available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoints are available. If no datapoints for July 4 are available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Предложенный исход: Trump

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Trump

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Biden vs Trump: who polls higher 1 week after debate?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Biden vs Trump: who polls higher 1 week after debate?» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 0¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 0%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Biden vs Trump: who polls higher 1 week after debate?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $19.5K с момента запуска рынка Jun 27, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Biden vs Trump: who polls higher 1 week after debate?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Biden vs Trump: who polls higher 1 week after debate?» — «Biden vs Trump: who polls higher 1 week after debate?» всего с 0%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Biden vs Trump: who polls higher 1 week after debate?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.