Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.9% that no one will face criminal charges by March 31 for doxing the Delta Force commander linked to the U.S. special operations raid capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in Operation Absolute Resolve. The incident stemmed from journalist Seth Harp sharing a publicly available university biography of the colonel in early January 2026, prompting Rep. Anna Paulina Luna and the House Oversight Committee to issue a subpoena and refer the matter amid accusations of leaking operational details. Despite this congressional scrutiny, the Department of Justice pursued no indictment or prosecution over the subsequent nearly three months, bolstering confidence in the "No" outcome due to First Amendment protections for public information and absence of further legal action. Only an extraordinary late-breaking DOJ filing could shift resolution, though none materialized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$4,406 Объем
$4,406 Объем
Да
$4,406 Объем
$4,406 Объем
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 8, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Окно спора
Окончательный
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.9% that no one will face criminal charges by March 31 for doxing the Delta Force commander linked to the U.S. special operations raid capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in Operation Absolute Resolve. The incident stemmed from journalist Seth Harp sharing a publicly available university biography of the colonel in early January 2026, prompting Rep. Anna Paulina Luna and the House Oversight Committee to issue a subpoena and refer the matter amid accusations of leaking operational details. Despite this congressional scrutiny, the Department of Justice pursued no indictment or prosecution over the subsequent nearly three months, bolstering confidence in the "No" outcome due to First Amendment protections for public information and absence of further legal action. Only an extraordinary late-breaking DOJ filing could shift resolution, though none materialized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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