Trader consensus on the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election heavily favors Chong Won-oh at 78.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing him leading decisively among Democratic Party voters in the capital, bolstered by opposition momentum following national election setbacks for the ruling People Power Party. Incumbent Oh Se-hoon trails at 13.5%, supported by his governance record on urban development but hampered by President Yoon Suk Yeol's low approval ratings spilling into local races. Park Ju-min's 7.1% reflects rising progressive buzz from youth and reformist endorsements. Recent Democratic primary signals and Seoul's historical opposition lean in midterms underpin these odds, though party nominations and campaign events could alter trajectories amid economic pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов мэра Сеула 2026 года
Победитель выборов мэра Сеула 2026 года
Чон Вон-о 79%
О Се Хун 14%
Пак Чжу Мин 7.2%
Ан Чоль Су <1%
$6,744,113 Объем
$6,744,113 Объем

Чон Вон-о
79%

О Се Хун
14%

Пак Чжу Мин
7%

Ан Чоль Су
<1%

Чон Хён-хи
<1%

Чо Ын-хи
<1%

Пак Ён-джин
<1%

Хон Ик-пё
<1%

Чо Гук
<1%

Кан Хунсик
<1%

На Кён-вон
<1%

Хан Дон Хун
<1%

Пак Хон-гын
<1%

Со Ёнкё
<1%
Чон Вон-о 79%
О Се Хун 14%
Пак Чжу Мин 7.2%
Ан Чоль Су <1%
$6,744,113 Объем
$6,744,113 Объем

Чон Вон-о
79%

О Се Хун
14%

Пак Чжу Мин
7%

Ан Чоль Су
<1%

Чон Хён-хи
<1%

Чо Ын-хи
<1%

Пак Ён-джин
<1%

Хон Ик-пё
<1%

Чо Гук
<1%

Кан Хунсик
<1%

На Кён-вон
<1%

Хан Дон Хун
<1%

Пак Хон-гын
<1%

Со Ёнкё
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election heavily favors Chong Won-oh at 78.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing him leading decisively among Democratic Party voters in the capital, bolstered by opposition momentum following national election setbacks for the ruling People Power Party. Incumbent Oh Se-hoon trails at 13.5%, supported by his governance record on urban development but hampered by President Yoon Suk Yeol's low approval ratings spilling into local races. Park Ju-min's 7.1% reflects rising progressive buzz from youth and reformist endorsements. Recent Democratic primary signals and Seoul's historical opposition lean in midterms underpin these odds, though party nominations and campaign events could alter trajectories amid economic pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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