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Reserva Federal previsões e probabilidades

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Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

99%

Thom Tillis

$97.6K Vol.

$35.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

96%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$49.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

6%

$4.0K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

57%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.0K Vol.

$50.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

89%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$48.0K Vol.

$60.3K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

100%

Kevin Warsh

$50M Vol.

$542K today

$3M Liq.

100

Ends em 6 meses

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

43%

December 31

$304K Vol.

$41.8K Liq.

12

Ends em 8 meses

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

99%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$57.9K today

$275K Liq.

95

Ends em 6 dias

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

81%

No change

$33.8K Vol.

$66.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

13%

$16.1K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

99%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$36.5K Liq.

15

Ends em 7 dias

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

91%

No change

$5M Vol.

$86.2K today

$504K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

54%

3.75%

$6M Vol.

$285K Liq.

7

Ends em 7 meses

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

43%

↓ 3.25%

$1M Vol.

$107K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

96%

No change

$19M Vol.

$573K today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

4%

$5.0K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

31%

$37.5K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

1%

$88.7K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

99%

June 30

$53.9K Vol.

$25.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

18%

December 31

$15.0K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Reserva Federal that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $88.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Kevin Warsh. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Reserva Federal predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.