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Taxa De Emprego previsões e probabilidades

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May Unemployment Rate

May Unemployment Rate

37%

4.3%

$511 Vol.

$29.7K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

$6.3K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 9 meses

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

32%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$3.4K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 9 meses

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

28%

5.0%

$389K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

13

Ends em 8 meses

How many jobs added in May?

How many jobs added in May?

32%

0 – 50k

$424 Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

84%

Up

$25.3K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends em 10 meses

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

69%

1.0-2.0%

$8.7K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$76.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

58%

3.75%

$7M Vol.

$154K Liq.

7

Ends em 7 meses

Will Zoom Q1 online average monthly churn rate be at least __?

Will Zoom Q1 online average monthly churn rate be at least __?

41%

3.0%

$3.7K Vol.

$159 Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

44%

80-99

$7.2K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

91%

$27.5B

$621 Vol.

$101 Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

44%

1600.00+

$7.0K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$20.0K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

34%

80-99

$933 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

23%

$1M Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

66

Ends em 9 meses

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

49%

80-99

$19.1K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

49%

<1600.00

$18.4K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

50%

160-179

$9.1K Vol.

$31.9K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above __?

Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above __?

51%

$225M

$0 Vol.

$65 Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

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Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 58% chance to 3.75%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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