Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?

Name: Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?
Start: 2026-03-15T22:53:23.341Z
End: 2026-03-23T00:00:00.000Z

Geopolítica·Irão

Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?

$79,259 Vol.

Mar 23, 2026

19 de março

$4,096 Vol.

79%

20 de março

$14,266 Vol.

83%

21 de março

$7,568 Vol.

79%

22 de março

$9,751 Vol.

74%

23 de março

$4,689 Vol.

73%

$79,259 Vol.

19 de março

$4,096 Vol.

79%

20 de março

$14,266 Vol.

83%

21 de março

$7,568 Vol.

79%

22 de março

$9,751 Vol.

74%

23 de março

$4,689 Vol.

73%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if an official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Khamenei's official X profiles: https://x.com/khamenei_ir, https://x.com/KhameneiBangla, https://x.com/az_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_fa, https://x.com/ar_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_Heb. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices low odds for Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei tweeting on the specified topic by the deadline, driven by his rare direct use of Twitter—official @khamenei_ir posts statements sparingly, favoring speeches and state media amid Israel-Iran escalations. Recent developments include Khamenei's October 2024 addresses vowing response to Israeli strikes without social media mention, preserving strategic ambiguity as traders weigh amid US election dynamics and nuclear talks. No confirmed tweet has emerged post-key events like the October 1 Iranian missile launches, aligning with historical base rates of under 5% monthly activity on hot-button issues. Upcoming parliamentary sessions or regional diplomacy may catalyze official remarks, but low engagement precedent tempers Yes sentiment.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 18, 2026, 7:16 PM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "16 de março" at 100%, followed by "17 de março" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?" has generated $79.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?" is "16 de março" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "17 de março" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $79.3K traded on “Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "16 de março" in the "Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "16 de março" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 23, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?" market has an active community of 67 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?

Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?

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Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (67)

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Frequently Asked Questions

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