President Trump's confirmed phone call with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on April 1, discussing U.S.-Israeli war efforts against Iran and potential ceasefire talks, has elevated trader consensus on that outcome to around 72%, reflecting immediate diplomatic coordination on Hormuz Strait security and oil flows. Strong pricing near 99% for NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stems from Trump's recent public appeals for alliance support amid escalating threats to strike Iranian infrastructure, with reports of a forthcoming meeting next week. High probabilities for Mark Carney (96%) and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (64%) anticipate financial and European alliance consultations, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy (50%) and Emmanuel Macron (47%) odds capture Ukraine aid and Hormuz burden-sharing debates. Traders monitor daily White House readouts through April 30 for credible reports of verbal or in-person talks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$62,576 Vol.

Mark Rutte
98%

Mark Carney
95%

Keir Starmer
74%

Mohammed bin Salman
71%

Friedrich Merz
60%

Elon Musk
52%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
49%

Emmanuel Macron
48%

Vladimir Putin
43%

Ursula von der Leyen
36%

Xi Jinping
34%

Maria Corina Machado
30%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
15%

Lula da Silva
8%

Reza Pahlavi
6%

Masoud Pezeshkian
5%

Kim Jong Un
3%

Nicolás Maduro
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
$62,576 Vol.

Mark Rutte
98%

Mark Carney
95%

Keir Starmer
74%

Mohammed bin Salman
71%

Friedrich Merz
60%

Elon Musk
52%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
49%

Emmanuel Macron
48%

Vladimir Putin
43%

Ursula von der Leyen
36%

Xi Jinping
34%

Maria Corina Machado
30%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
15%

Lula da Silva
8%

Reza Pahlavi
6%

Masoud Pezeshkian
5%

Kim Jong Un
3%

Nicolás Maduro
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's confirmed phone call with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on April 1, discussing U.S.-Israeli war efforts against Iran and potential ceasefire talks, has elevated trader consensus on that outcome to around 72%, reflecting immediate diplomatic coordination on Hormuz Strait security and oil flows. Strong pricing near 99% for NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stems from Trump's recent public appeals for alliance support amid escalating threats to strike Iranian infrastructure, with reports of a forthcoming meeting next week. High probabilities for Mark Carney (96%) and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (64%) anticipate financial and European alliance consultations, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy (50%) and Emmanuel Macron (47%) odds capture Ukraine aid and Hormuz burden-sharing debates. Traders monitor daily White House readouts through April 30 for credible reports of verbal or in-person talks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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