Trader consensus favors Kalshi as the frontrunner to self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026, reflecting its pioneering role in event markets after prevailing in federal court against the CFTC in October 2024, which struck down bans on certain political wagers. CME Group trails closely, buoyed by its history of sports futures like Super Bowl totals and recent exploratory filings, while CBOE lags amid regulatory caution. Key drivers include ongoing CFTC rulemaking on permissible event contracts, with staff letters signaling flexibility for "novel" sports outcomes excluding gaming-style props. Upcoming comment periods and potential rule finalization by late 2025 could accelerate certifications, though appeals or reversals pose risks to momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoQuais DCMs autocertificam contratos de eventos esportivos até 31 de março de 2026?
Quais DCMs autocertificam contratos de eventos esportivos até 31 de março de 2026?
$184,638 Vol.

LedgerX
24%

ICE
22%

Railbird
13%

CBOE
8%

Small Exchange
7%

A Clearing Company
6%

ForecastEx
5%

Aristotle
8%
$184,638 Vol.

LedgerX
24%

ICE
22%

Railbird
13%

CBOE
8%

Small Exchange
7%

A Clearing Company
6%

ForecastEx
5%

Aristotle
8%
The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 24, 2025, 12:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors Kalshi as the frontrunner to self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026, reflecting its pioneering role in event markets after prevailing in federal court against the CFTC in October 2024, which struck down bans on certain political wagers. CME Group trails closely, buoyed by its history of sports futures like Super Bowl totals and recent exploratory filings, while CBOE lags amid regulatory caution. Key drivers include ongoing CFTC rulemaking on permissible event contracts, with staff letters signaling flexibility for "novel" sports outcomes excluding gaming-style props. Upcoming comment periods and potential rule finalization by late 2025 could accelerate certifications, though appeals or reversals pose risks to momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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