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Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Market icon

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

jun 30

jun 30

NOVO

$24,048 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$24,048 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

CME

$1,427 Vol.

97%

Market icon

Railbird

$1,031 Vol.

60%

Market icon

ForecastEx

$4,145 Vol.

42%

Market icon

LedgerX

$100 Vol.

50%

Market icon

Aristotle

$72 Vol.

49%

Market icon

Small Exchange

$1,180 Vol.

28%

Market icon

CBOE

$1,090 Vol.

9%

Market icon

The Clearing Company

$1,477 Vol.

8%

Market icon

ICE

$14,255 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The CFTC's Division of Market Oversight issued a key advisory on March 12, 2026, urging designated contract markets (DCMs) to conduct thorough pre-self-certification reviews for sports event contracts due to heightened manipulation risks, alongside an Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking seeking public input on prediction market oversight. No DCMs, including challengers like Kalshi or Railbird, have self-certified such contracts as of early April, following a similar inaction by the prior March 31 deadline. A CFTC-MLB memorandum of understanding signed March 19 bolsters market integrity efforts, but regulatory scrutiny persists amid debates over whether these resemble state-regulated sports betting. Traders eye potential filings before the June 30 cutoff, with upcoming CFTC rulemaking as a pivotal catalyst.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$24,048
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The CFTC's Division of Market Oversight issued a key advisory on March 12, 2026, urging designated contract markets (DCMs) to conduct thorough pre-self-certification reviews for sports event contracts due to heightened manipulation risks, alongside an Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking seeking public input on prediction market oversight. No DCMs, including challengers like Kalshi or Railbird, have self-certified such contracts as of early April, following a similar inaction by the prior March 31 deadline. A CFTC-MLB memorandum of understanding signed March 19 bolsters market integrity efforts, but regulatory scrutiny persists amid debates over whether these resemble state-regulated sports betting. Traders eye potential filings before the June 30 cutoff, with upcoming CFTC rulemaking as a pivotal catalyst.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$24,048
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "CME" at 97%, followed by "Railbird" at 60%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" has generated $24K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" is "CME" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Railbird" at 60%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.