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JPM previsões e probabilidades

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Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

6%

$239K Vol.

$45.7K Liq.

6

Ends em 25 dias

Chirayu Rana sued?

Chirayu Rana sued?

82%

$114K Vol.

$40.6K Liq.

29

Ends em 8 meses

Chirayu Rana divorced?

Chirayu Rana divorced?

5%

$47.2K Vol.

$26.3K Liq.

8

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

48%

BMO

$478K Vol.

$41.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

44%

Morgan Stanley

$2M Vol.

$24.7K Liq.

17

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

49%

BMO

$20.4K Vol.

$82.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

66%

$544K Vol.

$51.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

79%

Nothing

$40.3K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

11%

$5.6K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

89%

Covid

$55.9K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

13

Ends em 9 dias

YOM FDV above ___ one day after launch?

YOM FDV above ___ one day after launch?

48%

$20M

$30 Vol.

$482 Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

13.6 million

+ 3 more

$467 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

97%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$22.6K Vol.

$69.8K Liq.

5

Ends em 1 dia

What will Marco Rubio say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Marco Rubio say during the next White House press briefing?

House / Senate

+ 29 more

$70.8K Vol.

$70.8K today

$0 Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Peyton Stearns vs Janice Tjen

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Peyton Stearns vs Janice Tjen

68%

Peyton Stearns

$2.1K Vol.

$53.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

95%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$48.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

56%

Railbird

$99.8K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

60%

140-159

$87.8K Vol.

$37.0K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

41%

160-179

$32.3K Vol.

$51.6K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

White House # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

White House # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

36%

160-179

$4.4K Vol.

$52.9K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like JPM.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for JPM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 45% chance to Morgan Stanley. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on JPM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.