Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?

Name: Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?
Start: 2025-11-18T15:50:35.372Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Economia·Big Tech

Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?

$480,139 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Tim Cook - Apple

$284,317 Vol.

36%

Andy Jassy - Amazon

$13,188 Vol.

21%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$60,996 Vol.

19%

Dan Clancy - Twitch

$23,822 Vol.

17%

Sundar Pichai - Google

$23,159 Vol.

16%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$74,657 Vol.

13%

$480,139 Vol.

Tim Cook - Apple

$284,317 Vol.

36%

Andy Jassy - Amazon

$13,188 Vol.

21%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$60,996 Vol.

19%

Dan Clancy - Twitch

$23,822 Vol.

17%

Sundar Pichai - Google

$23,159 Vol.

16%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$74,657 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Trader sentiment on Polymarket pegs OpenAI CEO Sam Altman as the frontrunner to depart before 2027, with 28% implied probability reflecting unresolved board tensions following his 2023 ouster and rehiring. Elon Musk trails at 18%, amid Tesla's slumping sales, robotaxi delays, and his divided focus across xAI and X. Lower odds hang on Nvidia's Jensen Huang (7%) and Anthropic's Dario Amodei (5%), buoyed by AI boom stability. Key catalysts include OpenAI's next funding round scrutiny, Tesla's October robotaxi event, and Microsoft's Activision integration pressures on Satya Nadella. Broader AI regulatory probes and talent wars amplify churn risks, though "None" retains 35% consensus.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 21, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tim Cook - Apple" at 36%, followed by "Andy Jassy - Amazon" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" has generated $480.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" is "Tim Cook - Apple" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andy Jassy - Amazon" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $480.1K traded on “Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 36¢ for "Tim Cook - Apple" in the "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 36% chance that "Tim Cook - Apple" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 36¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 64¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" market has an active community of 14 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?

Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (14)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?"?

What are the current odds for "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?"?

How will "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?"?

What does a price of 36¢ for "Tim Cook - Apple" mean?

When does the "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?"?

What is Polymarket?