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Seg previsões e probabilidades

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SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

28%

$51.0K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

<1%

$749K Vol.

$116K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 13 horas

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

56%

Spencer Pratt

$31.4K Vol.

$116K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

99%

Anthropic

$268K Vol.

$115K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 13 horas

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

4%

$171K Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?

99%

Anthropic

$42.0K Vol.

$82.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 13 horas

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

28%

$224K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

13%

June 30, 2026

$810K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

45

Ends há 2 meses

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

59%

Rafael Grossi

$121K Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

79%

Anthropic

$435K Vol.

$92.8K Liq.

51

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of June?

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of June?

78%

Anthropic

$4.2K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?

91%

$1.2K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

38%

Rafael Grossi

$62.9K Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

5

Ends há 3 meses

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Team Secret Whales

$32.4K Vol.

$2 Liq.

Ends há 16 dias

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Team Secret Whales

$13.7K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 23 dias

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Team Secret Whales

$687 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends há 25 dias

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

8%

None in 2026

$45.2K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?

Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?

46%

$42 Vol.

$97 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

47%

$13.8K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

2nd largest company end of May?

2nd largest company end of May?

100%

Alphabet

$2M Vol.

$551K today

$119K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 19 horas

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 156 active markets for Seg that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2nd largest company end of May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2nd largest company end of May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Alphabet. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Seg predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.