US special forces conducted a targeted raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and storming Fuerte Tiuna military base to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, after which troops withdrew without establishing a sustained presence—the Pentagon confirmed no US forces remain on Venezuelan soil. Over the past 30 days, diplomatic de-escalation has advanced with the US reopening its Caracas embassy on March 30 and lifting sanctions on acting President Delcy Rodríguez on April 2, signaling normalized relations amid oversight of the interim government's transition. No further military entries have occurred, though Trump has warned of potential action if cooperation falters; key risks include instability from PSUV holdouts like Diosdado Cabello and Maduro's ongoing New York court proceedings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$1,260,342 Vol.
31 jan 2026
31 de março
1%
30 de junho
11%
$1,260,342 Vol.
31 de março
$3,502 Vol.
1%
30 de junho
$176,751 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces conducted a targeted raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and storming Fuerte Tiuna military base to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, after which troops withdrew without establishing a sustained presence—the Pentagon confirmed no US forces remain on Venezuelan soil. Over the past 30 days, diplomatic de-escalation has advanced with the US reopening its Caracas embassy on March 30 and lifting sanctions on acting President Delcy Rodríguez on April 2, signaling normalized relations amid oversight of the interim government's transition. No further military entries have occurred, though Trump has warned of potential action if cooperation falters; key risks include instability from PSUV holdouts like Diosdado Cabello and Maduro's ongoing New York court proceedings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,260,342Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces conducted a targeted raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and storming Fuerte Tiuna military base to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, after which troops withdrew without establishing a sustained presence—the Pentagon confirmed no US forces remain on Venezuelan soil. Over the past 30 days, diplomatic de-escalation has advanced with the US reopening its Caracas embassy on March 30 and lifting sanctions on acting President Delcy Rodríguez on April 2, signaling normalized relations amid oversight of the interim government's transition. No further military entries have occurred, though Trump has warned of potential action if cooperation falters; key risks include instability from PSUV holdouts like Diosdado Cabello and Maduro's ongoing New York court proceedings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,260,342Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces conducted a targeted raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and storming Fuerte Tiuna military base to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, after which troops withdrew without establishing a sustained presence—the Pentagon confirmed no US forces remain on Venezuelan soil. Over the past 30 days, diplomatic de-escalation has advanced with the US reopening its Caracas embassy on March 30 and lifting sanctions on acting President Delcy Rodríguez on April 2, signaling normalized relations amid oversight of the interim government's transition. No further military entries have occurred, though Trump has warned of potential action if cooperation falters; key risks include instability from PSUV holdouts like Diosdado Cabello and Maduro's ongoing New York court proceedings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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