Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors over 6,000 US flight delays on March 27, driven by FlightAware's reported total of 6,959 delays within, into, or out of the United States—the official resolution metric checked at 12:00 PM ET on March 28. This commanding position reflects real-time data amid FAA warnings of high winds delaying flights at New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) airports, compounded by Day 42 of partial DHS shutdown causing TSA staffing shortages and extended security lines, Easter weekend travel surges, and LaGuardia runway closure from a prior incident. Realistic challenges include a rare downward revision in FlightAware's final tally, though preliminary figures rarely shift substantially post-midday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNumber of US Flights Delayed March 27?
Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?
>6,000 99.8%
5,500-6,000 <1%
<3,000 <1%
3,000-3,500 <1%
$11,601 Vol.
$11,601 Vol.
<3,000
<1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
<1%
4,500-5,000
<1%
5,000-5,500
<1%
5,500-6,000
<1%
>6,000
100%
>6,000 99.8%
5,500-6,000 <1%
<3,000 <1%
3,000-3,500 <1%
$11,601 Vol.
$11,601 Vol.
<3,000
<1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
<1%
4,500-5,000
<1%
5,000-5,500
<1%
5,500-6,000
<1%
>6,000
100%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors over 6,000 US flight delays on March 27, driven by FlightAware's reported total of 6,959 delays within, into, or out of the United States—the official resolution metric checked at 12:00 PM ET on March 28. This commanding position reflects real-time data amid FAA warnings of high winds delaying flights at New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) airports, compounded by Day 42 of partial DHS shutdown causing TSA staffing shortages and extended security lines, Easter weekend travel surges, and LaGuardia runway closure from a prior incident. Realistic challenges include a rare downward revision in FlightAware's final tally, though preliminary figures rarely shift substantially post-midday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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