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Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada

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Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada

$18,327 Vol.

Polymarket

$18,327 Vol.

Market icon

Democrata

$3,806 Vol.

50%

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Republicano

$14,521 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Nevada governor race remains razor-tight at 50% Democrat and 49% Republican odds, mirroring polling averages that show incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo deadlocked with top Democratic challengers like Attorney General Aaron Ford and Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar. Nevada's battleground status, driven by high Latino turnout, strong union influence in Las Vegas hospitality, and pivotal issues like abortion rights protections, housing costs, and education funding, sustains the equilibrium despite Lombardo's incumbency advantage from his narrow 2022 win. Recent developments, including steady economic data and no major candidate gaffes in the past month, have prevented separation; upcoming 2026 primaries and national political winds could tip battleground dynamics through endorsements or shifts in swing-state turnout.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$18,327
Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Nevada governor race remains razor-tight at 50% Democrat and 49% Republican odds, mirroring polling averages that show incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo deadlocked with top Democratic challengers like Attorney General Aaron Ford and Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar. Nevada's battleground status, driven by high Latino turnout, strong union influence in Las Vegas hospitality, and pivotal issues like abortion rights protections, housing costs, and education funding, sustains the equilibrium despite Lombardo's incumbency advantage from his narrow 2022 win. Recent developments, including steady economic data and no major candidate gaffes in the past month, have prevented separation; upcoming 2026 primaries and national political winds could tip battleground dynamics through endorsements or shifts in swing-state turnout.

The Nevada governor race remains razor-tight at 50% Democrat and 49% Republican odds, mirroring polling averages that show incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo deadlocked with top Democratic challengers like Attorney General Aaron Ford and Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar. Nevada's battleground status, driven by high Latino turnout, strong union influence in Las Vegas hospitality, and pivotal issues like abortion rights protections, housing costs, and education funding, sustains the equilibrium despite Lombardo's incumbency advantage from his narrow 2022 win. Recent developments, including steady economic data and no major candidate gaffes in the past month, have prevented separation; upcoming 2026 primaries and national political winds could tip battleground dynamics through endorsements or shifts in swing-state turnout.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Democrata" at 50%, followed by "Republicano" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada" has generated $18.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada" is "Democrata" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Republicano" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nevada" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.